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In this paper, we analyze the long-run behavior and short-run dynamics of stock markets across some selected developed and emerging economies - namely the United States, the Euro Area, Japan, the United Kingdom, Australia, South Korea, Thailand and Brazil - in the Cointegrated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010255144
Deviations of policy interest rates from the levels implied by the Taylor rule have been persistent before the financial crisis and increased especially after the turn of the century. Compared to the Taylor benchmark, policy rates were often too low. This paper provides evidence that both...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010429753
This paper analyzes the interest rate pass-through for Germany and the euro area using for the first time a fully harmonized data set on bank retail rates. In a vector error correction model, the speed and completeness of the pass-through from market rates to bank interest rates are estimated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010206376
The paper integrates the two-pillar Phillips curve, which explains expected inflation by the money growth trend, within a simple macro model. A Taylor-like interest rule contains also a money growth target. The model takes into account serially correlated supply and money demand shocks; the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010206408
We analyze the importance of global shocks for the global economy and national policy makers. More specifically, we investigate whether monetary policy has become less effective in the wake of financial globalization. We also examine whether there is increasing uncertainty for central banks due...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010207060
the partial effects. Our estimation results indicate that using real time instead of ex post data leads to higher …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010207062
This paper examines the interactions between money, interest rates, goods and commodity prices at a global level. For this purpose, we aggregate data for major OECD countries and follow the Johansen/Juselius cointegrated VAR approach. Our empirical model supports the view that, when controlling...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010208787
We assess differences that emerge in Taylor rule estimations for the Fed and the ECB before and after the start of the subprime crisis. For this purpose, we apply an explicit estimate of the equilibrium real interest rate and of potential output in order to account for variations within these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010208788