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to have dealt with the volatility better. Why? This paper explores Australian terms of trade volatility since 1901. It …Even though Australia has experienced frequent and large commodity export price shocks like the Third World, it seems …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463954
dependent on the oil sector. Since the lifting of the Libya-specific trade sanctions of the United Nation and United States in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005591207
-reducing terms of trade volatility was the other. Between 1820 and 1870, terms of trade volatility was much greater in the poor … from 1870-2000, we know that terms of trade volatility lowers long run growth in the poor periphery, and that the negative … impact is big. Given that terms of trade volatility in the poor periphery was even bigger during the century before 1870, it …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464805
.1 percent of GDP in 2010. A compression of imports in 2009, the region’s external current account deficit is estimated to have …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011245074
Canada’s macroeconomic and policy performance has continued to outshine most other industrial countries, and its outlook remains favorable. The new government has pledged to maintain the strong social consensus in favor of fiscal surpluses, while aiming at enhancing incentives. The new...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011243614
The U.S. economy continued to grow strongly over the year even in the face of a withdrawal of monetary stimulus and high oil prices. Executive Directors commended the Federal Reserve for its monetary tightening. They recognized that the financial sector has proven innovative and resilient. They...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011244857
The major risk factors faced by the Isle of Man (IOM), which have been given prominence by the global financial crisis, relate to large exposures toward parent banks. The recent global financial markets turmoil has had a significant impact on the Manx financial system. The paper also presents a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011243882
We find that Chinese trade flows respond to economic activity and relative prices - as represented by a trade weighted … sensitive to the treatment of time trends. Estimates of aggregate imports are more problematic. In many cases, Chinese aggregate … imports actually rise in response to a RMB depreciation and decline with Chinese GDP. This is true even after accounting for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460784
A widely held view is that openness to international trade leads to higher GDP volatility, as trade increases … important, openness to international trade can lower GDP volatility by reducing exposure to domestic shocks and allowing … question of whether and how international trade affects economic volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457170
Writings on the macroeconomic impact of capital account liberalization find few, if any, robust effects of liberalization on real variables. In contrast to the prevailing wisdom, I argue that the textbook theory of liberalization holds up quite well to a critical reading of this literature. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465962