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This paper presents an empirical investigation of inflation dynamics in Libya over the period 1964–2010, using cointegration and error correction models. While inflation inertia is found to be a key determinant of consumer price inflation, the econometric results indicate that government...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013082860
External conditions have been found to influence the tendency of emerging market and developing economies to experience episodes of growth accelerations and reversals. In this paper we study the role of domestic policies and other structural attributes in amplifying or mitigating the effect that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012866906
This paper documents the expanding economic linkages between low-income countries (LICs) and a narrow group of "Emerging Market leaders" that have become major players in regional and global trade and financial flows. VAR models show that these linkages have increased the share of growth...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013110091
This paper examines the policy challenges a country faces when it wants to both reduce inflation and maintain a sustainable external position. Mundell's (1962) policy assignment framework suggests that these two goals may be mutually incompatible unless monetary and fiscal policies are properly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012955173
After the decline in oil prices, many oil exporters face the need to improve their externalbalances. Special characteristics of oil exporters make the exchange rate an ineffectiveinstrument for this purpose and give fiscal policy a sizeable role. These conclusions aresupported by regression...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012977864
persistent reductions of output, consumption and investment, that can be large, in particular if the share of public debt held …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013059858
Using a DSGE model calibrated to the euro area, we analyze the international effects of afiscal devaluation (FD) implemented as a revenue-neutral shift from employer's socialcontributions to the Value Added Tax. We find that a FD in 'Southern European countries' has a strong positive effect on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013040409
This paper sheds new light on the degree of international fiscal-financial spillovers by investigating the effect of domestic fiscal policies on cross-border bank lending. By estimating the dynamic response of U.S. cross-border bank lending towards the 45 recipient countries to exogenous...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012864117
sample. Panel VAR results show that an increase in government consumption results in real exchange appreciation but the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013110089
Foreign aid is a sizable source of government financing for several developing countries and its allocation matters for the conduct of fiscal policy. This paper revisits fiscal effects of shifts in aid dependency in 59 developing countries from 1960 to 2010. It identifies structural shifts in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012977858