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of the impact of conflict point to negative gross domestic product (GDP) growth of -12 percent on average over 2011 …-18, resulting in a GDP contraction to about one-third of the 2010 level. In post-conflict simulation scenarios, the growth drivers … stable resolution of the conflict is achieved …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012113903
This paper provides a broad empirical analysis of the determinants of post-conflict economic transitions across the … risk of conflict recurrence as an explanatory variable in the growth regression, because post-conflict countries have a … domestic factors, including the estimated probability of conflict recurrence, as well as a range of external variables …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013085981
Since the onset of the Arab Spring, economic uncertainty in Egypt, Jordan, Libya, Morocco, Tunisia, and Yemen (Arab Countries in Transition, ACTs) has slowed already sluggish growth; worsened unemployment, particularly of youth; undermined business confidence, affected tourist arrivals, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013048367
This paper studies the short and longer-term impact of IMF engagement in Low-Income Countries (LICs) over nearly three decades. In contrast to earlier studies, we focus on a sample composed exclusively of LICs and disentangle the different effects of IMF longer-term engagement and short-term...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013054693
Issues of taxation and development, which have long been a central concern of the IMF, have attracted wider and renewed interest in the last few years. This paper reflects on three broad lessons of experience: that developing countries differ vastly in tax matters, and in ways that are less than...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013098586
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012644082
Firms and entrepreneurs of all types - from microenterprises to multinationals - play a central role in growth and poverty reduction. Their investment decisions drive job creation, the availability and affordability of goods and services for consumers, and the tax revenues governments can draw...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012644143
Global growth is projected to be slightly faster in 2020 than the post-crisis low registered last year. While growth could be stronger if reduced trade tensions lead to a sustained reduction in uncertainty, the balance of risks to the outlook is to the downside. Growth in emerging market and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012644282
We revisit the relevance of the World Bank's Country Policy and Institutional Assessment (CPIA)against growth performance, with attention to possible biases arising from qualitative andquantitative changes in the CPIA methodology. The CPIA, introduced in the late 1970s, had aseries of extensive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012645809
Changing population age structures are shaping the trajectories of development in many countries, bringing opportunities and challenges. While aging has been a matter of concern for upper-middle and high-income economies, rapid population growth is set to continue in the poorest countries over...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012245769