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The Impact of Fiscal Consolidations on Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa

Arizala, Francisco - 2018

This paper examines the output effects of changes in public expenditure and revenue in sub-Saharan African countries during 1990-2016. Fiscal multipliers in sub-Saharan Africa are somewhat smaller than those in advanced and emerging economies. The effect of changes in fiscal policy on output...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012929927

Assessing Targeted Containment Policies to Fight COVID-19

Checo, Ariadne; Grigoli, Francesco; Mota, Jose M. - 2021

The large economic costs of full-blown lockdowns in response to COVID-19 outbreaks, coupled with heterogeneous mortality rates across age groups, led to question non-discriminatory containment measures. In this paper we provide an assessment of the targeted approach to containment. We propose a...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013250084

Waste Not, Want Not : The Efficiency of Health Expenditure in Emerging and Developing Economies

Grigoli, Francesco - 2013

Public health spending is low in emerging and developing economies relative to advanced economies and health outputs and outcomes need to be substantially improved. Simply increasing public expenditure in the health sector, however, may not significantly affect health outcomes if the efficiency...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013075544

A Hybrid Approach to Estimating the Efficiency of Public Spending on Education in Emerging and Developing Economies

Grigoli, Francesco - 2014

The measurement of the efficiency of public education expenditure using parametric and non-parametric methods has proven challenging. This paper seeks to overcome the difficulties of earlier studies by using a hybrid approach to measure the efficiency of secondary education spending in emerging...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013058432

Dampening Global Financial Shocks : Can Macroprudential Regulation Help (More than Capital Controls)?

Bergant, Katharina - 2020

We show that macroprudential regulation can considerably dampen the impact of globalfinancial shocks on emerging … markets. More specifically, a tighter level of regulation reducesthe sensitivity of GDP growth to VIX movements and capital … andliquidity, foreign currency mismatches, and risky forms of credit. We also find that tightermacroprudential regulation allows …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012828057

Protecting Lives and Livelihoods with Early and Tight Lockdowns

Caselli, Francesca; Grigoli, Francesco; Lian, Weicheng; … - 2021

Using high-frequency proxies for economic activity over a large sample of countries, we show that the economic crisis during the first seven months of the COVID-19 pandemic was only partly due to government lockdowns. Economic activity also contracted because of voluntary social distancing in...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013252205

Growth Breaks and Growth Spells in Sub-Saharan Africa

Arizala, Francisco - 2017

This paper examines the growth performance of sub-Saharan African countries since 1960 through the lens of growth turning points (accelerations and decelerations) and periods of sustained growth (growth spells). Growth accelerations are generally associated with improved external conditions,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012946903

Predictive Density Aggregation : A Model for Global GDP Growth

Caselli, Francesca - 2020

In this paper we propose a novel approach to obtain the predictive density of global GDP growth. It hinges upon a bottom-up probabilistic model that estimates and combines single countries' predictive GDP growth densities, taking into account cross-country interdependencies. Specifically,we...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012829696

Competition, Competitiveness and Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa

Chérif, Réda - 2020

Does greater product market competition improve external competitiveness and growth? This paper examines this question by using country-and firm-level data for a sample of 39 sub-Saharan African countries over 2000-17, as well as other emerging market economies and developing countries, and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012839680

Inequality and Growth : A Heterogeneous Approach

Grigoli, Francesco - 2017

The combination of stagnant growth and high levels of income inequality renewed the debate about whether a more even distribution of income can spur economic activity. This paper tests for cross-country convergence in income inequality and estimates its impact on economic growth with a...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012962147