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The United States - Mexico - Canada Agreement (USMCA) was signed on November 30, 2018 and aims to replace and modernize the North-American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA). This paper uses a global, multisector, computable-general-equilibrium model to provide an analytical assessment of five key...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012871787
In March 2018, representatives of member countries of the African Union signed the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) agreement. This agreement provides a framework for trade liberalization in goods and services and is expected to eventually cover all African countries. Using a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012866889
's comparative disadvantage sectors catch up disproportionately faster to the world productivity frontier. Contrary to a well … demonstrate both analytically and quantitatively that this finding is driven by the inherently multilateral nature of world trade …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013106747
We study economic globalization as a multidimensional process and investigate its effect on incomes. In a panel of 147 countries during 1970-2014, we apply a new instrumental variable, exploiting globalization's geographically diffusive character, and find differential gains from globalization...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012922630
The paper explores how international integration through global value chains shapes the working of exchange rates to induce external adjustment both in the short and medium run. The analysis indicates that greater integration into international value chains reduces the exchange rate elasticity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012843296
This paper empirically examines the extent to which a country's economic growth is influenced by its trading partner economies. Panel estimation results based on four decades of data for over 100 countries show that trading partners' growth and relative income levels have a strong effect on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012783228
This paper presents the most comprehensive and up-to-date panel data set of invoicing currencies in global trade. It provides data on the shares of exports and imports invoiced in US dollars, euros, and other currencies for more than 100 countries since 1990. The evidence from these data...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012826025
Global merchandise trade expanded rapidly over the last 6 1/2 decades and its relationship with global income has seen ebbs and flows. This paper examines the shifts in this relationship using time series data over 1950-2014 and situates it in the current and longer term context. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012977826
Global trade growth has slowed since 2012 relative both to its strong historical performance and to overall economic growth. This paper aims to quantify the role of weak economic growth and changes in its decomposition in accounting for the slowdown in trade using a reduced form and a structural...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012928627
-learning algorithms for the world and 40 large economies shows that forecasts based on linear regressions often outperform those based on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013252036