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strategies, world oil prices would be higher but more stable …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013086007
This paper documents the determinants of real oil price in the global market based on SVAR model embedding transitory and permanent shocks on oil demand and supply as well as speculative disturbances. We find evidence of significant differences in the propagation mechanisms of transitory versus...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012836533
alia, a useful analytical framework to explore the effects of: a change in world GDP growth; a change in the efficiency of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012960587
This paper assesses how regional trade agreements (RTAs) impact growth volatility on a worldwide sample of 170 …, improved policy coordination, and reduced risk of conflicts can ease growth volatility. Empirical estimations suggest the … benefits outweigh the costs as RTAs are consistently associated with lower growth volatility, after controlling for trade …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013015607
emerging markets, which reduces the volatility of their total net inflows despite higher volatility of the components. Capital …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013076315
, institutional, political and social underpinnings to uncover the “missing” determinants of exchange rate volatility over time and … volatility, especially in emerging market economies. After controlling for standard macroeconomic factors, we find that the “soft … exchange rate volatility across countries …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013024431
This paper studies the role of an increase in foreign exchange reserves in reducing currency volatility for emerging … introduced in the regressions to account for other factors affecting exchange rate volatility (monetary and external indicators … exchange rate regime, since the regime can affect both the level of reserves and exchange rate volatility. The results provide …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013211940
This paper examines the impact of international financial integration on macroeconomic volatility in a large group of … industrial and developing economies over the period 1960-99. We report two major results: First, while the volatility of output … volatility of consumption growth relative to that of income growth has increased for more financially integrated developing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013212317
Economists generally accept the proposition that high inflation rates generate inefficiencies that reduce society`s welfare and economic growth. However, determining the causes of the worldwide diversity of inflationary experiences is an important challenge not yet satisfactorily confronted by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013318074
How much does speculation contribute to oil price volatility? We revisit this contentious question by estimating a sign … model of the world oil market à la Kilian and Murphy (2013), since both imply a positive co-movement of oil prices and … the contribution of speculation to short-term oil price volatility (lying between 3 and 22 percent). This estimated short …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013028690