Showing 1 - 10 of 361
China is on the eve of a demographic shift that will have profound consequences on its economic and social landscape. Within a few years the working age population will reach a historical peak, and then begin a precipitous decline. This fact, along with anecdotes of rapidly rising migrant wages...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013086318
Korea’s economy has leaped to high-income status thanks to several decades of sustained high growth. However, population aging and shifts in global demand provide headwinds for future growth and Korea now faces the effects of COVID-19 on economic activity. This paper asseses the expected drag...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013302780
This paper analyzes various reform options for Japan's public pension in light of large fiscal consolidation needs of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013088412
effectiveness may moderate in graying societies. It then uses Bayesian estimation techniques for the U.S., Canada, Japan, U.K., and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013075540
This paper draws out the parallels between Korea and Japan in terms of demographics, potential growth, balance sheets …, asset prices and inflation. Korea's demographic trends seem to track Japan's with a lag of about 20 years. Low productivity … reforms. While Korea's corporate balance sheets are stronger than Japan's in the early 1990s, Korea needs to progress with the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012962151
Is Japan's aging and, more recently, declining population hampering growth and reflation efforts? Exploiting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012962168
Japan's aging and shrinking population could lower the natural rate of interest and, together with low inflation … expectations, challenge the Bank of Japan's efforts to reflate the economy. This paper uses a semi-structural model to estimate the … impact of demographics on the natural rate in Japan. We find that demographic change has a significantly negative impact on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012889159
Japan faces the problem of how to finance retirement, health, and long-term care expenditures as the population ages … equilibriumoverlapping generations model, specifically parameterized to match both the macroeconomic and microeconomic level data of Japan …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012895128
Japan seems to be turning less Ricardian, a trend set to continue. First, the discount wedge seems to have risen …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012977770
Japan has the most rapidly aging population in the world. This affects growth and fiscal sustainability, but the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013048366