Showing 1 - 10 of 195
-consequences of a supply-driven oil-price shock are very different from those of an oil-demand shock driven by global economic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013098275
The perception that inflation dynamics in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) are driven by supply shocks implies a limited role for monetary policy in influencing inflation in the short run. SSA's rapid growth, its integration with the global economy, changes in the policy frameworks, among others, in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013015595
This paper documents the determinants of real oil price in the global market based on SVAR model embedding transitory and permanent shocks on oil demand and supply as well as speculative disturbances. We find evidence of significant differences in the propagation mechanisms of transitory versus...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012836533
This paper reviews the evolution of China`s real effective exchange rate between 1980 and 2002, and uses a structural vector autoregression model to study the relative importance of different types of macroeconomic shocks for fluctuations in the real exchange rate. The structural decomposition...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012783233
This paper provides new evidence of the effect of monetary policy shocks on income inequality. Using a measure of unanticipated changes in policy rates for a panel of 32 advanced and emerging market countries over the period 1990-2013, the paper finds that contractionary (expansionary) monetary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012962145
We investigate the drivers of dynamics of major U.S. FX bilaterals. We first construct a novel measure of FX risk premiums using Consensus exchange rate forecasts. We then use VAR analysis to show that (i) risk premium shocks play a key role in driving dynamics of the major U.S. FX bilaterals;...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012977825
The paper examines the transmission of business cycle fluctuations and credit conditions from advanced and emerging market economies to Low-Income Developing Countries (LIDCs), using a global vector autoregressive (GVAR) framework and related countryspecific error correction models. We compile a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012977867
negative credit supply shock applied to SMEs has an adverse effect on economic activity, and this impact is amplified in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013050665
impact of a shock in one country on all other countries. The paper concludes that the network effects in shock spillovers can … be substantial, comparable, and often exceed the initial shock. Individual countries may amplify, absorb, or block … spillovers. Most developed countries pass-through shocks, whereas low-income countries and oil exporters tend to block shock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013016608
This paper studies the transmission of crime shocks to the economy in a sample of 32 Mexican states over the period from 1993 to 2012. The paper uses a panel structural VAR approach which accounts for the heterogeneity of the dynamic state level responses in GDP, FDI and international migration...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013020268