Showing 1 - 10 of 187
volatility of consumption growth relative to that of income growth has increased for more financially integrated developing … economies in the 1990s. Second, increasing financial openness is associated with rising relative volatility of consumption, but … only up to a certain threshold. The benefits of financial integration in terms of improved risk-sharing and consumption …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013212317
This paper analyzes common economic patterns across countries and economic sectors in Latin America, East Asia and Europe for the period 1970-94 by means of an error-components model that decomposes real value added growth in each country into common international effects, sector-specific...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013321390
We examine the properties of house price fluctuations across 18 advanced economies over the past 40 years. We ask two specific questions: First, how synchronized are housing cycles across these countries? Second, what are the main shocks driving movements in global house prices? To address these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013086308
consumption and investment relative to GDP is larger than in other countries; (v) the cyclicality of consumption and investment is … smaller than in advanced economies and EMs; (vi) there is little comovement between consumption and investment; (vii …) consumption and investment are strongly positively correlated with imports …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012864121
This paper analyses the extent to which financial integration impacts the manner in which terms of trade affect business cycles in emerging economies. Using a s mall open economy model, we show that as capital account openness increases in an economy that faces trade shocks, business cycle...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012950443
In emerging Asia, banks constitute the dominant source of financing consumption and investment, and bank balance sheets … by banks and investment. For example, a capital outflow shock leads to a deprecation that reduces the net worth and … intermediation capacity of banks exposed to foreign currency liabilities. In such cases, the exchange rate acts as shock amplifier …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013243072
adopted outside of a recession, based on cutting public consumption, and accompanied by reform to enhance institutions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012831612
This paper shows that remittance flows significantly increase the business cycle synchronization between remittance-recipient countries and the rest of the world. Using both aggregate and bilateral remittances data in a panel data setting, the study demonstrates that this effect is robust and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013098276
Both global and regional economic linkages have strengthened substantially over the past quarter century. We employ a dynamic factor model to analyze the implications of these linkages for the evolution of global and regional business cycles. Our model allows us to assess the roles played by the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013086323
What are the drivers of business cycle fluctuations? And how many are there? Bydocumenting strong and predictable co-movement of real variables during the business cyclein a sample of advanced economies, we argue that most business cycle fluctuations aredriven by one major factor. The positive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012962163