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This paper develops a structural macroeconometric model of the world economy, disaggregated into thirty five national economies. This panel unobserved components model features a monetary transmission mechanism, a fiscal transmission mechanism, and extensive macrofinancial linkages, both within...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013102206
This paper presents an empirical investigation of inflation dynamics in Libya over the period 1964–2010, using cointegration and error correction models. While inflation inertia is found to be a key determinant of consumer price inflation, the econometric results indicate that government...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013082860
The Global Integrated Monetary and Fiscal model (GIMF) is a multi-region, forward-looking, DSGE model developed by the Economic Modeling Division of the IMF for policy analysis and international economic research. Using a 5-region version of the GIMF, this paper illustrates the model's...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013064363
This paper develops a structural macro econometric model of the world economy, disaggregated into forty national economies, to facilitate multilaterally consistent macrofinancial policy, risk and spillover analysis. This panel dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model features a range of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012956470
The initial government debt-to-GDP ratio and the government's commitment play a pivotal role in determining the welfare-optimal speed of fiscal consolidation in the management of a debt crisis. Under commitment, for low or moderate initial government debt-to-GPD ratios, the optimal consolidation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012956478
The strong US policy response to the 2008-09 financial crisis raised concerns about its impact(spillovers) on other countries, with great focus on the monetary stimulus but little attention to fiscal policy, despite their combined deployment. Using a sign-restricted structural VAR approach, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012945676
This paper studies the main channels through which interest rate normalization has fiscalimplications in the United States. While unexpected inflation reduces the real value ofgovernment liabilities, a rising policy rate increases government financing needs because ofhigher interest payments and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012869280
We estimate the latent factors that underlie the dynamics of the sovereign bond yield curve inMorocco during 2004-14 based on the Dynamic Nelson-Siegel model. On this basis, weexplore the interaction between macroeconomic variables and the yield curve, which is ofdirect relevance to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012977868
This paper develops a structural macroeconometric model of the world economy,disaggregated into forty national economies. This panel dynamic stochastic generalequilibrium model features a range of nominal and real rigidities, extensivemacrofinancial linkages, and diverse spillover transmission...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013002153
The Fiscal Theory of the Price Level (FTPL) is the claim that, in a popular class of theoretical models, the price level is sometimes determined by fiscal policy rather than monetary policy. The models where this claim has been established assume that all decisions are made by an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012859850