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We estimate a panel VAR model that captures cross-country, dynamic interlinkages for 10 euro area countries using quarterly data for the period 1999-2016. Our analysis suggests that fiscal spillovers are significant and tend to be larger for countries with close trade and financial links as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012928609
This paper studies how the effects of government spending vary with the economic environment. Using a panel of OECD countries, we identify fiscal shocks as residuals from an estimated spending rule and trace their macroeconomic impact under different conditions regarding the exchange rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013102258
economy. This paper investigates this link on a country-by-country basis for the G7 economies (excluding Italy). Our results …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013088409
multipliers for the United States. With these results, it computes the cumulative multiplier of Ramey and Zubairy (2018), now … multiplier is much larger than the cumulative spending one. Hence, the conclusions depend on the definition of multiplier. This …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012840611
is that the balanced budget multiplier for Paraguay i.e. the effect of on output of an increase in expenditures (in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012957837
economy is at the effective lower bound (ELB) or in normal times does not seem to matter for the size of the multiplier … average multiplier is about 1 in normal times and between 1.6 and 2.8 at the ELB, depending on the specification. The … difference between the two multipliers is distributed largely away from zero. More generally, the multiplier is inversely …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012866218
Government debt in many small states has risen beyond sustainable levels and some governments are considering fiscal consolidation. This paper estimates fiscal policy multipliers for small states using two distinct models: an empirical forecast error model with data from 23 small states across...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012871788
expenditure. We estimate a fiscal multiplier of 0.8 and a credit multiplier of 0.2 in 2001-2015. The multipliers have changed over … time. The fiscal multiplier has increased from 0.75 in 2001-2008 to 1.4 in 2010-2015. The credit multiplier has declined …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012929935
-called r-g. Whether the fiscal shock occurs when r-g is positive or negativematters for the size of the multiplier. Median … multiplier is inversely correlated with r-g. The calculationsare based on the estimates of a factor-augmented interacted panel …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013243042
We estimate the average fiscal multiplier, allowing multipliers to be heterogeneous across countries or over time and … conventional multiplier estimates. We rely on both crosssectional and time-series variation in spending shocks, exploiting the … differential effects of oil price shocks on fuel subsidies, to identify the average government spending multiplier. Our estimates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012950437