This paper examines the recent behavior of core inflation in the United States. We specify a simple Phillips curve … based on the assumptions that inflation expectations are fully anchored at the Federal Reserve's target, and that labor …-market slack is captured by the level of shortterm unemployment. This equation explains inflation behavior since 2000, including …

-recession trend, suggesting hysteresis. Second, while inflation has decreased, it has decreased less than anticipated, suggesting a … breakdown of the relation between inflation and activity. To examine the first, we look at 122 recessions over the past 50 years … unemployment on inflation,for given expected inflation, decreased until the early 1990s, but has remained roughly stable since then …

studies (Latvia, Lithuania, Montenegro, Poland, and Romania). Our results of the panel data analysis indicate that supply …. In the case studies, we find a similar result for Lithuania and Montenegro, but the other three case studies point to the …

Upward sloping yield curves are hard to reconcile with the positive association between income and inflation (the … Phillips curve) in consumption-based asset pricing models. Using US and UK data, this paper shows inflation is negatively … the importance of monetary policy, predicting that a permanently low growth and low inflation environment would …

Inflation rates rose sharply in the Philippines during 2018. Understanding the demand and supply sources of inflation … pressures is key to monetary policy response. Qualitatively, indicators have pointed to evidence of inflation pressures from …-structural model to decompose the contributions of various shocks to inflation. Our main findings are (1) supply factors (mainly global …

Despite closing output gaps and tightening labor markets, inflation has remained low inthe euro area. Based on an … augmented Phillips Curve framework, we find that thisphenomenon-sometimes attributed to low global inflation-has been primarily … causedby a remarkable persistence of inflation, keeping it low despite the reduction in slack. Thisfeature is shown to be …

We study inflation dynamics in Colombia using a bottom-up Phillips curve approach. Thisallows us to capture the … different drivers of individual inflation components. We find that thePhillips curve is relatively flat in Colombia but steeper … indexationdynamics are important for non-tradable goods. We show that besides allowing for a moredetailed understanding of inflation …

We analyze the dramatic decline in India's inflation over the last two years using an augmented Phillips Curve approach …, we find that inflation is a highly persistent process in India, reflecting very adaptive expectations and the backward …

This paper explores inflation dynamics and monetary policy in Bolivia. Bolivia's monetary policy framework has been … effective in stabilizing inflation in recent times. This has been a challenging task given high price volatility of key consumer … framework has contributed to the stabilization of inflation, with effective transmission through the bank lending channel, while …

This paper investigates the determinants of inflation in the Dominican Republic during 1991-2002, a period …-correction model using quarterly observations, the paper finds that inflation is explained by changes in monetary aggregates, real … output, foreign inflation, and the exchange rate. Long-run relationships in the money and traded-goods markets are found to …