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than less. Suppose that a household plans to finance a given housing purchase through a preferred future mortgage path. If … that mortgage path violates a new amortization requirement, the household can still achieve its preferred mortgage path … the mortgage rate, because then the excess borrowing is costless. But even if the savings interest rate is less than the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012982421
This paper examines the growth performance of sub-Saharan African countries since 1960 through the lens of growth turning points (accelerations and decelerations) and periods of sustained growth (growth spells). Growth accelerations are generally associated with improved external conditions,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012946903
To identify and quantify downside risks to housing markets, we apply the house price-at-risk methodology to a sample of 37 cities across the United States and Canada using quarterly data from 1983 to 2018. This paper finds that downside risks to housing markets in the United States have...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012836538
that mortgage lending boosted by expansionary monetary policy is driving up house prices. But theory suggests the value of … incomes and financial assets play a larger role. Policy experiments suggest that a gradual phasing out of mortgage interest …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012996083
experiences from Iceland, Ireland, Spain, and the United States, this paper discusses how economic trade-offs affecting mortgage …In housing crises, high mortgage debt can feed a vicious circle of falling housing prices and declining consumption and … incomes, leading to higher mortgage defaults and deeper recessions. In such situations, resolution policies may need to be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013028680
This study constructs an index of human capital for the Spanish labor force over the past two decades and projects it over the next decade on the basis of likely demographic developments. The methodology considers both educational attainment resulting from formal schooling and improvements in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317970
evaluate the importance of balance sheet vulnerabilities combined with the presence of the financial accelerator for emerging … financial accelerator and potential balance sheet vulnerabilities for macroeconomic fluctuations. Furthermore, our estimates of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013318079
In this paper we analyze the fundamental drivers of China's residential investment as a share of its GDP. Our analysis indicates that the economic structural changes that led to rebalancing toward consumption were the key driver of the rising residential investment to GDP ratio in China. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012895123
Banks' living wills involve both recovery and resolution. Since it may not always be clear when recovery plans or actions should be triggered, there is a role for an objective metric to trigger recovery. We outline how such a metric could be constructed meeting criteria of (i) adequate loss...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013002156
There is increasing interest in loan-to-value (LTV) and debt-service-to-income (DTI) limits as many countries face a new round of rising house prices. Yet, very little is known on how these regulatory instruments work in practice. This paper contributes to fill this gap by looking closely at...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013016601