Showing 1 - 10 of 227
This paper undertakes an investigation into the efficiency of the crude oil futures market and the forecasting accuracy of futures prices. Efficiency of the market is analysed in terms of the expected excess returns to speculation in the futures market. Accuracy of futures prices is compared...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012781020
Using newly digitized unemployment insurance claims data we construct a historical monthly unemployment series for U …-level unemployment data, which are only available from January 1976 onwards, and capture consistent patterns in the business cycle. We … use our claims-based unemployment series to examine the evolving pace of post-war unemployment recoveries at the state …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014081630
unemployment, several European economies display highly persistent unemployment dynamics. The theory of hysteresis challenges this … strong empirical evidence of unemployment hysteresis in advanced economies since the 1990s. Relying on an identification … unemployment rates to pre-shock levels …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012912496
We use the novel anonymized Household Labour Force Survey (HLFS) microdata to analyze job finding rates and job separation rates in New Zealand. We find that individual characteristics, including age, gender, ethnicity and education have a significant impact on job finding and separation rates,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013491954
This paper asks how well Okun's Law fits short-run unemployment movements in the United States since 1948 and in twenty … the unemployment rate-varies substantially across countries. This variation is partly explained by idiosyncratic features …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013085991
Despite its low unemployment rate, the recent shift in the Japanese Beveridge curveindicates increased labor mismatch …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013074692
In this paper, we provide compelling evidence that cyclical factors account for the bulk of thepost-2007 decline in the U.S. labor force participation rate. We then proceed to formulate astylized New Keynesian model in which labor force participation is essentially acyclical during“normal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013061162
We read search theory's unemployment equilibrium condition as an Iso-Unemployment Curve(IUC).The IUC is the locus of … job destruction rates and expected unemployment durations rendering the same unemployment level. A country's position … unemployment level at which such preferences are satisfied Using a panel of 20 OECD countries over 1985-2008, we find employment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013110086
The paper uses a large survey (GSOEP) to analyze the labor market performance of immigrants in Germany. It finds that new immigrant workers earn on average 20 percent less than native workers with otherwise identical characteristics. The gap is smaller for immigrants from advanced countries,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012996034
relatively minor intervention can dramatically increase the fragility of jobs, the length of unemployment spells, as well as the … extent of unemployment and labor market churning. With institutions of the type studied here common across many different …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012783081