Do euro area inflation expectations remain well-anchored? This paper finds that the protractedperiod of low (and below …-target) inflation in the euro area since 2013 has weakened theiranchoring. Testing their sensitivity to inflation and macroeconomic news … robustness to our conclusions. Results point to a significantimpact of inflation news over recent years that had not been …

inflation in the United States. We test for Granger-causality out-of-sample and find, perhaps surprisingly given recent … theoretical arguments, that including money growth in simple VAR models of inflation does systematically improve out … Volcker and Greenspan eras. However, the contribution of money to inflation forecasting accuracy is quantitatively limited and …

between monetary autonomy and inflation dynamics in a panel of Caribbean countries over the period 1980-2017. The empirical … results show that monetary independence is a significant factor in determining inflation, even after controlling for … monetary policy for domestic purposes independent of external monetary influences, leads to lower consumer price inflation …

of increasing inflation; and the “golden years,” when central banks succeeded in preserving price stability in an …

We study whether clarity of central bank inflation reports affects return volatility in financial markets. We measure …

Indian food and fuel inflation has remained high for several years, and second-round effects on core inflation are … model of the Indian economy, which incorporates pass-through from headline inflation to core inflation. The results indicate … that India's inflation is highly inertial and persistent. Due to second-round effects, the gap between headline inflation …

We develop a semi-structural new-Keynesian open-economy model, with separate food and non-food inflation dynamics, for …-relevant exercises. First, we filter international and Kenyan data (on output, inflation and its components, exchange rates and interest … inflation. Third, we perform an out-of-sample forecast to identify where the economy — and therefore policy — was likely headed …

Does the South African rand's relatively large volatility affect inflation? To shed some light on this question, a … standard estimation technique of exchange rate pass-through to inflation is extended to incorporate exchange rate volatility …. Estimated results suggest that higher exchange rate volatility tends to increase core inflation but to a relatively limited …

U.S. monetary policy can remain extraordinarily accommodative only if longer-term inflation expectations stay well … economically small impact on longer-term inflation compensation embedded in U.S. Treasury bonds. The estimated effect is larger for … correlated with the variance of longer-term inflation expectations in the University of Michigan Survey of Consumers in the post …

Over the past decade, India has seen a prolonged period of high inflation, to a large extent driven by persistently …-high food inflation. This paper investigates the demand and supply factors behind the contribution of relative food inflation to … headline CPI inflation. It concludes that in the absence of a stronger food supply growth response, food inflation may exceed …