Showing 1 - 10 of 364
Many central banks in emerging and advanced economies have adopted an inflation-forecast targeting (IFT) approach to … monetary policy, in order to successfully establish a stable, low-inflation environment. To support policy making, each has …-fledged inflation targeting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013019008
We estimate the dynamic effects of changes in retail energy prices on inflation using a novel monthly database …, covering 110 countries over 2000:M1 to 2016:M6. We find that (i) inflation responds positively to retail energy price shocks … response of inflation to these shocks owing to differences in factors related to labor market flexibility, energy intensity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012828223
empirical finding when estimated with different expectation formation processes. When inflation becomes de-anchored and … expectations drift, we can observe high inflation even with a mildly positive output gap in response to cost-push shocks. The … normal times to predict the cost of reining in inflation. Our optimal policy exercises prescribe early monetary policy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014254588
Inflation and unemployment rate were largely disconnected between 2000 and 2019 in advanced economies. We decompose … core inflation into two parts based on the cyclical sensitivity of CPI components and document several salient facts: (i … inflation and unemployment rate. The approach has potential to help understand forces shaping price pressures during the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014082956
This paper investigates the response of consumer price inflation to changes in domestic fuel prices, looking at the … findings stand out. First, the response of inflation to gasoline price shocks is smaller, but more persistent and broad … retail fuel prices to estimate the pass-through to inflation significantly underestimate it. Third, while the purchasing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013306724
Standard New Keynesian (NK) models feature an optimal inflation target well below two percent, limited welfare losses …-run Phillips curve between inflation and unemployment and a trade-off between price distortions and output hysteresis that change … the welfare-maximizing inflation level. For a plausible set of parameters, the optimal inflation target is in excess of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013306762
Theoretical models on the relationship between prices and exchange rates predict that the magnitude of expenditure switching affects the optimal choice of exchange rate regime. Focusing on the transmission of terms-of-trade shocks to domestic real variables we document that the magnitude of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012907952
dynamics of the economy, the design ofmonetary policy, and the properties of inflation at different levels of development. A … calibratedversion of the model encompasses both rich and poor countries and broadly replicates theproperties of inflation across the … nearcomplete)stabilization of sticky-price non-food inflation, despite the presence of a foodsubsistencethreshold. Subsistence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012982444
explain the observed exchange rate and inflation variability as well as the fact that the regression and VAR estimates tend to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013098580
This paper analyses inflation dynamics in the Central African Economic and Monetary Community (CEMAC) using a …. Imported commodity price shocks are significant in explaining inflation in the region. Governments are another driving force of … inflation dynamics mainly through controlled prices and the role of capital expenditure in domestic activity. In most CEMAC …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013119682