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inflation in the United States. We test for Granger-causality out-of-sample and find, perhaps surprisingly given recent … theoretical arguments, that including money growth in simple VAR models of inflation does systematically improve out … Volcker and Greenspan eras. However, the contribution of money to inflation forecasting accuracy is quantitatively limited and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012772212
We assess the bivariate relation between money growth and inflation in the euro area and the United States using hybrid … statistically unstable across time in both regions. The effect of money growth on inflation weakened notably after the 1980s before … maximum impact of money growth on inflation is increasing in the trend level of inflation. These results caution against …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014353545
Monetary aggregates are now much less used as policy instruments as identifying the right measure has become difficult and interest rate transmission has worked well in an increasingly complex financial system. In this process, little attention was paid to the potential spillover of excess...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013102270
relationship of various measures of money and inflation. After demonstrating that previous naïve correlations between money and … inflation as established in the 20th century literature have largely disappeared, we explain why this cannot be taken as support …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013243075
Based on the observed behavior of monetary aggregates and exchange rates, we classify inflation stabilization episodes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013318682
This paper examines the impact of a monetary policy shock on output, prices, and the nominal effective exchange rate for Kenya using data during 1997-2005. Based on techniques commonly used in the vector autoregression literature, the main results suggest that an exogenous increase in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012777936
track the EUR or USD to an extent which appears inconsistent with inflation targeting, trade or financial integration, or …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012956475
The perception that inflation dynamics in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) are driven by supply shocks implies a limited role … for monetary policy in influencing inflation in the short run. SSA's rapid growth, its integration with the global economy …, changes in the policy frameworks, among others, in the last decade suggest that the drivers of inflation may have changed. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013015595
a modified event study framework. They are found to have a more prominent impact on inflation expectations and exchange …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012928015
Central bank liquidity lines have gained momentum since the global financial crisis as a crosscurrency liquidity management tool. We provide a complete timeline of the ECB liquidity line announcements and study their signalling and spillback effects. The announcement of an ECB euro liquidity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014354526