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rise in the unemployment rate, by about 3 percentage points, and income inequality during the pandemic. Our results show …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014254891
where aggregate shocks have a permanent effect on the unemployment rate. If agents' wealth decreases, the unemployment rate … increases for a potentially indefinite period. This makes unemployment rate dynamics path dependent as in Blanchard and Summers … (1987). I argue that this feature explains the persistence of the unemployment rate in the U.S. after the Great Recession …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013053039
As China implements reforms under the “new normal,” maintaining stability in the labor market is a priority. The country's demography and labor dynamics are changing, after benefitting in past decades from ample cheap labor. So far, the labor market appears to be resilient, even as growth...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013016606
Serbia) are characterized by some of the highest unemployment and low employment rates in Europe. We analyze the poor labor …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013046311
relationship. First, debt overhang impairs household consumption when negative shocks hit. Second, increases in household debt …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012918565
Strong Chinese output growth after the Global Financial Crisis was supported by booming credit. This credit boom carries risks. International experience suggests that China's credit growth is on a dangerous trajectory, with increasing risks of a disruptive adjustment and/or a marked growth...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012929917
response of consumption to sovereign risk, which I document in the context of the Eurozone crisis. By explicitly separating the … default is likely, households anticipate its negative consequences and cut consumption for self-insurance reasons. Such … caused by default risk. More generally, sovereign risk exacerbates volatility in consumption over time and across agents …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013249730
We use firm-level data from 10 European countries to establish several new stylized facts about firms’ labor market power. First, we find the pervasive presence of labor market power across countries and sectors, measured by average and median markdowns above unity. Second, focusing on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014264536
unemployment. Key elements of the reforms were a drastic cut in benefits for the long-term unemployed and tighter job search and … reforms were associated with a fall in the earnings of workers returning to work from short-term unemployment relative to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013016588
This paper asks how well Okun's Law fits short-run unemployment movements in the United States since 1948 and in twenty … the unemployment rate-varies substantially across countries. This variation is partly explained by idiosyncratic features …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013085991