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We study the link between central bank independence and inflation by providing narrative and empiricial evidence based …, central banks turned into de facto development banks under the aegis of governments, sawing the seeds for high inflation. It … took the high inflation episodes of the 1970s and 1980s and the associated major decline in real income, and growing social …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014244524
-recession trend, suggesting hysteresis. Second, while inflation has decreased, it has decreased less than anticipated, suggesting a … breakdown of the relation between inflation and activity. To examine the first, we look at 122 recessions over the past 50 years … unemployment on inflation,for given expected inflation, decreased until the early 1990s, but has remained roughly stable since then …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013002151
This paper investigates the evolution of inflation dynamics in the five largest ASEAN countries between 1997 and 2017 …-looking dynamics and a better anchoring of inflation expectations, consistent with the improvements in monetary policy frameworks in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012913904
Inflation in low-income countries is often high and volatile, driven by external shocks. In addition, inflation in … stability. We estimate the drivers of inflation in Guinea since the early 2000s, a period in which the country suffered major … shocks from pandemics, commodity price movements, and multiple military coups, and during which inflation averaged 12 percent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014355052
This paper presents an empirical investigation of inflation dynamics in Libya over the period 1964–2010, using … cointegration and error correction models. While inflation inertia is found to be a key determinant of consumer price inflation, the … econometric results indicate that government spending, money supply growth, global inflation, and exchange rate pass-through play …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013082860
Do euro area inflation expectations remain well-anchored? This paper finds that the protractedperiod of low (and below …-target) inflation in the euro area since 2013 has weakened theiranchoring. Testing their sensitivity to inflation and macroeconomic news … robustness to our conclusions. Results point to a significantimpact of inflation news over recent years that had not been …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892921
between monetary autonomy and inflation dynamics in a panel of Caribbean countries over the period 1980-2017. The empirical … results show that monetary independence is a significant factor in determining inflation, even after controlling for … monetary policy for domestic purposes independent of external monetary influences, leads to lower consumer price inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012859872
Many central banks in emerging and advanced economies have adopted an inflation-forecast targeting (IFT) approach to … monetary policy, in order to successfully establish a stable, low-inflation environment. To support policy making, each has …-fledged inflation targeting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013019008
This paper analyzes the dramatic rise in U.S. inflation since 2020, which we decompose into a rise in core inflation as … measured by the weighted median inflation rate and deviations of headline inflation from core. We explain the rise in core with …-through into core from past shocks to headline inflation. The headline shocks themselves are explained largely by increases in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014238516
Although central banks have recently taken unconventional policy actions to try to shore up macroeconomic and financial stability, little theory is available to assess the consequences of such measures. This paper offers a theoretical model with which such policies can be analyzed. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013111404