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, imports, and per capita GDP growth to a “global” aid shock. We find that a global aid shock can affect exports, imports, and … growth either positively or negatively. As a result, the relation between aid and growth is mixed, consistent with the … ambiguous results in the existing literature. For most countries in the sample, when aid reduces exports and imports, it also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013064195
productive capacity to satisfy the aid-induced increased demand. Diagnoses on, and prognoses for, the Dutch disease should take …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012752440
To investigate the effects on Papua New Guinea's economy of substantial liquified natural gas revenues arriving in 2015, we employ a model to examine the macroeconomic effects of a scalingup of natural resource windfall revenues and the implications for a variety of policy responses. The model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013080223
This paper provides a broad empirical analysis of the determinants of post-conflict economic transitions across the world during the period 1960-2010, using a dynamic panel estimation approach based on the system-generalized method of moments. In addition to an array of demographic, economic,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013085981
dollar per day in half, by 2015. Foreign aid financed investments may contribute to the attainment of this goal. But how much … can aid be reasonably expected to accomplish? A widespread calibration approach to answering this question is to employ … the currently proposed aid flows, these flows will have to be accompanied by either an acceleration in the underlying …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012777948
The World Bank and the IMF have adopted a debt sustainability framework (DSF) to evaluate the risk of debt distress in Low Income Countries (LICs). At the core of the DSF are empirically-based thresholds for each of five different measures of the debt burden (the “debt threshold approach”...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013055260
Recent literature has explored the relationship between efficiency-adjusted public capital and economic growth. A debate on whether capital grants, and especially EU funds actually contribute to growth has gained prominence lately. This paper empirically assesses the relationship between the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012948534
This paper studies the potential for the export sector to play a more important role in promoting growth in Central America, Panama, and the Dominican Republic (CAPDR) through deeper intra-regional and global trade integration. CAPDR countries have enacted many free trade agreements and other...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013098574
This paper develops a new index which provides early warning signals of a growth crisis in the event of large external shocks in low-income countries. Multivariate regression analysis and a univariate signaling approach are used to map information from a parsimonious set of underlying policy,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013083626
Many sub-Saharan African (SSA) countries liberalized their economies in the 1980s and early 1990s. This paper reviews the foreign exchange regime reforms in selected SSA, and their associated macroeconomic policies and economic performance during and after these reforms were undertaken. Before...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013086314