Showing 1 - 10 of 474
countries/regions over the period 1979-2011Q2, to discriminate - between supply-driven and demand-driven oil-price shocks and to …-consequences of a supply-driven oil-price shock are very different from those of an oil-demand shock driven by global economic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013098275
This paper documents the determinants of real oil price in the global market based on SVAR model embedding transitory … distinct effects. Permanent supply disruptions turn out to be a bigger factor in historical oil price movements during the most …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012836533
-driven oil price shock, with real GDP increasing in both advanced and emerging market oil-importing economies, output declining …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012998782
We present a simple macroeconomic model with a continuum of primary commodities used in the production of the final good, such that the real prices of commodities have a factor structure. One factor captures the combined contribution of all aggregate shocks which have no direct effects on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013080222
A model for world crude oil and natural gas markets is estimated. It confirms low price and high income elasticities of … demand for both crude oil and natural gas, which explains the market power of oil producers and price volatility following …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013318085
typically observed. We show that decisions are very sensitive to expectations on the equilibrium oil price using a mean … reverting model of the oil price where the equilibrium price is also a random variable. Oil production was cut during the 2008 … was cut completely when prices fall below the country's threshold price. If several producers were to adopt such …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013086007
This paper investigates the role of tax incentives towards debt finance in the buildup of leverage in the nonfinancial corporate (NFC) sector, using a large firm-level dataset. We find that so-called debt bias is a significant driver of leverage, for both small and medium-sized enterprises and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012895074
The paper reviews recent developments in the pass-through of international to domestic petroleum product prices, in the … of the paper is the limited price pass-through in many countries and the consequent increase in fuel subsidies. The paper …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012777198
alia, a useful analytical framework to explore the effects of: a change in world GDP growth; a change in the efficiency of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012960587
Real oil prices surged from 2009 through 2014, comparable to the 1970's oil shock period. Standard explanations based on monopoly markup fall short since inflation remained low after 2009. This paper contributes strong evidence of Granger (1969) predictability of nominal factors to oil prices,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012858386