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Identifying Speculative Bubbles : A Two-Pillar Surveillance Framework
Jones, Bradley - 2015
In the aftermath of the global financial crisis, the issue of how best to identify speculative asset bubbles (in real …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013031169
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Financial Crises in DSGE Models : Selected Applications of MAPMOD
Benes, Jaromir - 2014
This paper, together with a technical companion paper, presents MAPMOD, a new IMF model designed to study vulnerabilities associated with excessive credit expansions, and to support macroprudential policy analysis. In MAPMOD, bank loans create purchasing power that facilitates adjustments in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013054688
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Financial Crises in DSGE Models : A Prototype Model
Benes, Jaromir - 2014
This paper presents the theoretical structure of MAPMOD, a new IMF model designed to study vulnerabilities associated with excessive credit expansions, and to support macroprudential policy analysis. In MAPMOD, bank loans create purchasing power that facilitates adjustments in the real economy....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013054689
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Asset Bubbles : Re-Thinking Policy for the Age of Asset Management
Jones, Bradley - 2015
bubbles continue to threaten economic stability despite financial markets becoming more informationally-efficient, more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013026923
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Optimal Macroprudential Policy and Asset Price Bubbles
Biljanovska, Nina - 2019
that the macroprudential policy should optimally respond to building asset price bubbles non-monotonically depending on the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012862442
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Great Recession and Fiscal Squeeze at U.S. Subnational Government Level
Jonas, Jiri - 2012
The paper discusses the fiscal impact of the Great Recession of 2007-08 on state and local governments in the United States. It documents the sharp decline in tax revenue and discusses how states responded to close the budget gaps in order to obey the balanced budget provisions. It highligts the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013098614
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Oil Price Volatility and the Role of Speculation
Beidas-Strom, Samya - 2015
How much does speculation contribute to oil price volatility? We revisit this contentious question by estimating a sign … model of the world oil market à la Kilian and Murphy (2013), since both imply a positive co-movement of oil prices and … the contribution of speculation to short-term oil price volatility (lying between 3 and 22 percent). This estimated short …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013028690
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Accounting for Macrofinancial Fluctuations and Turbulence
Vitek, Francis - 2018
approximate linear dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model of the world economy, augmented with structural shocks exhibiting … national economies in the world …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012906882
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Taming Financial Development to Reduce Crises
Ben Naceur, Sami - 2019
This paper assesses whether and how financial development triggers the occurrence of banking crises. It builds on a database that includes financial development as well as financial access, depth and efficiency for almost 100 countries. Through estimation of a dynamic logit panel model, it...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012868462
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The Global Economic Recovery 10 Years after the 2008 Financial Crisis
Mrkaic, Mico - 2019
This paper takes stock of the global economic recovery a decade after the 2008 financial crisis. Output losses after the crisis appear to be persistent, irrespective of whether a country suffered a banking crisis in 2007-08. Sluggish investment was a key channel through which these losses...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012869286