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In contrast to the early-warning system literature, we find that currency and debt crises are not closely linked in emerging markets. We find that after 1994, credit ratings predict debt crises but fail to anticipate currency crises. When debt crises are defined as sovereign distress-when...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013212322
This paper investigates the behaviour of credit rating agencies using a natural experiment in monetary policy. We exploit the corporate QE of the Eurosystem and its rating-based specific design which generates exogenous variation in the probability for a bond of becoming eligible for outright...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013405784
Climate change is an existential threat to the world economy like no other, with complex, evolving and nonlinear …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013250076
This study investigates the nonlinear relationship between public debt and sovereign credit ratings, using a wide sample of over one hundred advanced, emerging, and developing economies. It finds that: i) higher public debt lowers the probability of being placed in a higher rating category; ii)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012864106
, despite the larger trade elasticities implied by firm heterogeneity. As a consequence, the world-wide trade response, though …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013085999
We study how low interest rates in the United States affect risk taking in the market of cross-border leveraged corporate loans. To the extent that actions of the Federal Reserve affect U.S. interest rates, our analysis provides evidence of a cross-border spillover effect of monetary policy. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012961476
This paper investigates the effects of national culture on firm risk-taking, using a comprehensive dataset covering 50,000 firms in 400 industries in 51 countries. Risk-taking is found to be higher for domestic firms in countries with low uncertainty aversion, low tolerance for hierarchical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013098599
This paper provides an overview of sovereign debt portfolio risks and discusses various liability management operations (LMOs) and instruments used by public debt managers to mitigate these risks. Debt management strategies analyzed in the context of helping reach debt portfolio targets and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012918566
This paper analyzes the cross-border risks that could result from a decarbonization of the world economy. We develop a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015057806
We find that Credit Rating Agencies (CRA)'s opinions have an impact in the cost of funding of sovereign issuers and consequently ratings are a concern for financial stability. While ratings produced by the major CRAs perform reasonably well when it comes to rank ordering default risk among...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013111391