inflation in the United States. We test for Granger-causality out-of-sample and find, perhaps surprisingly given recent … theoretical arguments, that including money growth in simple VAR models of inflation does systematically improve out … Volcker and Greenspan eras. However, the contribution of money to inflation forecasting accuracy is quantitatively limited and …

We assess the bivariate relation between money growth and inflation in the euro area and the United States using hybrid … statistically unstable across time in both regions. The effect of money growth on inflation weakened notably after the 1980s before … maximum impact of money growth on inflation is increasing in the trend level of inflation. These results caution against …

relationship of various measures of money and inflation. After demonstrating that previous naïve correlations between money and … inflation as established in the 20th century literature have largely disappeared, we explain why this cannot be taken as support …

Based on the observed behavior of monetary aggregates and exchange rates, we classify inflation stabilization episodes …

, and capital is negative when adjusting for this. Capital is sufficient to back a low inflation target given that the … stabilization would benefit from increased emphasis on low inflation as the primary objective of monetary policy and a stronger …

We offer a novel methodology for assessing the quality of inflation reports. In contrast to the existing literature …, which mostly evaluates the formal quality of these reports, we evaluate their economic content by comparing inflation … coding of inflation reports to describe inflation factors communicated by central banks in real time. Regarding the latter …

problem as insufficient demand, when it is actually a supply problem. We do this in a real model, in which inflation is not an …