Showing 1 - 10 of 312
Despite closing output gaps and tightening labor markets, inflation has remained low inthe euro area. Based on an … augmented Phillips Curve framework, we find that thisphenomenon-sometimes attributed to low global inflation-has been primarily … causedby a remarkable persistence of inflation, keeping it low despite the reduction in slack. Thisfeature is shown to be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012910359
The level and trend in cash use in a country will influence the demand for central bank digital currency (CBDC). While access to digital currency will be more convenient than traveling to an ATM, it only makes CBDC like a bank debit card-not better. Demand for digital currency will thus be weak...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012889147
China has been moving to a more market oriented financial system, which has implications for the monetary policy environment. The paper investigates the stability of the money demand function (MDF) in light of progress in financial sector reforms that, for example, have resulted in significant...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013053041
The coronavirus pandemic is a global crisis like no other in modern times, and there is a growing apprehension about handling potentially contaminated cash. This paper is the first empirical attempt in the literature to investigate whether the risk of infectious diseases affects demand for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013252023
relationship of various measures of money and inflation. After demonstrating that previous naïve correlations between money and … inflation as established in the 20th century literature have largely disappeared, we explain why this cannot be taken as support …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013243075
This paper examines the demand for money under conditions of very high inflation in Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012781232
This paper undertakes an investigation into the efficiency of the crude oil futures market and the forecasting accuracy of futures prices. Efficiency of the market is analysed in terms of the expected excess returns to speculation in the futures market. Accuracy of futures prices is compared...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012781020
agricultural sector and food prices in the inflation process; features of monetary policy transmission and implications of an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012960572
India formally adopted flexible inflation targeting (FIT) in June 2016 to place price stability, defined in terms of a … target CPI inflation, as the primary objective of monetary policy. In this context, the paper draws on Indian macroeconomic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012960575
I regress real GDP growth rates on the IMF's growth forecasts and find that IMF forecasts behave similarly to those generated by overfitted models, placing too much weight on observable predictors and underestimating the forces of mean reversion. I identify several such variables that explain...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012895122