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India's real GDP growth slipped substantially after the North Atlantic financial crisis. Return to a sustained high growth trajectory is feasible but it will need much more focused attention to the revival of manufacturing and to the acceleration of investment in transport and infrastructure....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013024439
We use a dynamic small open economy model to explore the macroeconomic impact of alternative public investment scaling-up scenarios, analyzing how improving the efficiency of capital spending and of tax revenue collection affect growth and debt sustainability for three fast-growing Southeast...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012962142
We argue that the U.S. personal saving rate's long stability (from the 1960s through the early 1980s), subsequent steady decline (1980s-2007), and recent substantial increase (2008-2011) can all be interpreted using a parsimonious ‘buffer stock' model of optimal consumption in the presence of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013098587
We study the effects of permanent and temporary income shocks on precautionary saving and investment in a "store-or-sow" model of growth. High volatility of permanent shocks results in high precautionary saving in the safe asset and low investment, or a "volatility trap." Namely, big savers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013102269
converge towards lower equilibrium real interest rates if domestic savings increase to the level of other emerging market … countries. The effect is particularly pronounced if the increase in domestic savings is achieved through higher levels of public … savings. Still, econometric results suggest that, controlling for everything else in the model, real interest rates in Brazil …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013108621
reassess national savings behavior, with greater prominence and more careful consideration given to the role played by changing … literature. Going further, we simulate global savings behavior based on our framework and find that China's demographics should … decades, individual countries' convergence toward the simulated savings pattern will be influenced by their past divergences …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013082859
Are generational accounts informative about the effect of the budget on the intergenerational distribution of resources and on aggregate saving? First, the usefulness of generational accounts lives or dies with the strict life-cycle model of household consumption. Second, even if the life-cycle...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012782030
We study, both empirically and quantitatively, the role of savings and the labor supply inself-insurance channels over … social security benefits for the period 1995-2009. We find that both savings and the labor supply are quantitatively … adjustment to savings and labor supply have significant macroeconomic implications. Applying the model to China, we find that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012888767
Using cross-country national accounts and firm-level data, we document a broad-based trend in rising gross saving and net lending of non-financial corporates across major industrialized countries over the last two decades, though most pronounced in countries with persistent current account...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892932
China's high national savings rate-one of the highest in the world-is at the heart of its external/internal imbalances …. High savings finance elevated investment when held domestically, or lead to large external imbalances when they flow abroad …. Today, high savings mostly emanate from the household sector, resulting from demographic changes induced by the one …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012895103