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Monetary assets have different characteristics which make them more or less useful in facilitating transactions. Academic economists have consistently argued that these differences should be incorporated in monetary aggregates by assigning assets different weights. However, central banks...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012781613
In this paper, we discuss the modern history of monetarism and its alternatives, as well as the changing empirical relationship of various measures of money and inflation. After demonstrating that previous naïve correlations between money and inflation as established in the 20th century...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013243075
Monetary aggregates are now much less used as policy instruments as identifying the right measure has become difficult and interest rate transmission has worked well in an increasingly complex financial system. In this process, little attention was paid to the potential spillover of excess...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013102270
Two types of currency in circulation models are identified: (1) a first generation derived fromthe theory of money demand and (2) a second generation aimed at producing daily forecastsof currency in circulation. In this paper, we transform the currency demand function into aVAR to capture the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012925220
inflation in the United States. We test for Granger-causality out-of-sample and find, perhaps surprisingly given recent theoretical arguments, that including money growth in simple VAR models of inflation does systematically improve out-of-sample forecasting accuracy. This holds for a long...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012772212
Based on the observed behavior of monetary aggregates and exchange rates, we classify inflation stabilization episodes into two categories: de facto exchange rate-based stabilizations (ERBS) and non-ERBS. Unlike the standard de jure ERBS studied in the literature, de facto ERBS encompass cases...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013318682
Using firm-level data for approximately 1,000 bank and nonbank financial institutions in 22 countries over the past 15 years we study the impact of prolonged monetary policy easing on risk-taking behavior. We find that the leverage ratio, as well as other measures of firm-level vulnerability,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012956487
Drawing on the 2016 update of the IMF's Central Bank Legislation Database, this paper examines differences in central bank legal frameworks before and after the Global Financial Crisis. Examples from select countries show that many central bank laws have undergone changes in objectives,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012956503
The North Atlantic financial crisis of 2008-2009 has spurred renewed interest in reforming the international monetary system, which has been malfunctioning in many aspects. Large and volatile capital flows have promoted greater volatility in financial markets, leading to recurrent financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013071929
Motivated by the tension first revealed during the global financial crisis between thedomestic and international financial stability obligations of central bank reserve managers,this paper offers some reflections along four main lines. First, the paper highlights howofficial reserve management...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012924272