Showing 1 - 10 of 528
In this paper, we review the role of the political economy in inclusive growth. We find that political economy forces … document growing support for a rethink of the social contract to make growth more inclusive and discuss some of its broad …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013302782
consolidation policies for improving long-term growth prospects. Electoral costs are particularly high for broad-based indirect tax …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012843298
Focusing on Low-Income Countries, we investigate the behavior of fiscal variables during and after elections. The results indicate that during election years, government consumption significantly increases and leads to higher fiscal deficits. During the two years following elections, the fiscal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013079256
We examine electoral cycles in tax reforms using monthly data over the period of 1990-2018 for 22 advanced economies and emerging markets. We show that governments tend to avoid announcing tax reforms during the months running up to elections. In addition, they become more likely to announce...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014241939
long-run interactions between economic growth and fiscal policy. Many countries must reduce high public debt to GDP ratios … that penalize longterm growth. However, fiscal adjustment is likely to hurt growth in the short run, delaying improvements … in affecting productivity and employment growth. This paper discusses the complex relationships between fiscal policy and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013102268
This paper provides new empirical evidence of the impact of an unanticipated change in public debt on real GDP. Using public debt forecast errors, we identify exogenous changes in public debt to assess the impact of a change in the debt to GDP ratio on real GDP. By analyzing data on gross public...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013289446
We estimate the effects on growth of nine fiscal reform episodes in seven high-income countries using the Synthetic … Control Method. These episodes are selected using an indicator-based approach applied to the evaluation of growth …-friendly fiscal reforms during 1975-2010. We find that in reform countries the annual growth rate of real GDP was on average about 1 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012950407
, and provides recommendations for growth-friendly and inclusive tax policy reforms. LAC countries collect significantly … and improve progressivity by addressing critical design flaws. Possible adverse growth effects could be mitigated by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013295146
The paper analyzes the impact of natural disasters on per-capita GDP growth. Using a quantile regressions and growth …-at-risk approach, the paper examines the impact of disasters and policy choices on the distribution of growth rather than simply its … probability of witnessing a significant drop in growth as a consequence of a natural disaster, but our innovative methodology in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013306749
Many studies predict massive job losses and real wage decline as a result of the ongoing widespread automation of production, a trend that may be further aggravated by the COVID-19 crisis. Yet automation is also expected to raise productivity and output. How can we share the gains from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013305593