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multiplier - the focus of much empirical investigation and policy debate - is likely inconsequential in this regard. Rather, what … matters is the degree to which the multiplier during the initial period of fiscal stimulus differs from the multiplier when … the stimulus is withdrawn. If the multiplier is constant over time, delaying consolidation is unlikely to significantly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013024440
With fiscal adjustment proceeding quickly in Bulgaria and given the weak economic growth environment, there is keen interest in making the budget composition more growth friendly. This paper quantifies the short-term impact of fiscal policy on economic activity in Bulgaria using econometric and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013085612
The paper examines the consequences of fiscal consolidation in times of persistently low growth and high unemployment by estimating medium-term fiscal multipliers during protracted recessions (PR) in a sample of 17 OECD countries. Based on Jorda's (2005) local projection methodology, we find...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013031164
This paper analyses the causes and consequences of fiscal consolidation promise gaps, defined as the distance between planned fiscal adjustments and actual consolidations. Using 74 consolidation episodes derived from the narrative approach in 17 advanced economies during 1978-2015, the paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012960566
Productivity dispersion across countries has led to several studies on the determinants of firm level productivity and the role of macroeconomic policies in determining productivity. In this paper, we investigate the effect of fiscal consolidation on firm level productivity in 12 advanced...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014079907
Implementation of fiscal consolidation by advanced economies in coming years needs to take into account the short and long-run interactions between economic growth and fiscal policy. Many countries must reduce high public debt to GDP ratios that penalize longterm growth. However, fiscal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013102268
consolidation size to allow speed to affect the multiplier. Second, using the narrative dataset of Devries and others (2011), we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013071926
Do local fiscal multipliers depend on what the government purchases? We find that government purchases of services have larger effects on employment than spending on goods. Industries producing services are more labor-intensive than industries producing goods. This heterogeneity in labor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014354592
multipliers for the United States. With these results, it computes the cumulative multiplier of Ramey and Zubairy (2018), now … multiplier is much larger than the cumulative spending one. Hence, the conclusions depend on the definition of multiplier. This …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012840611
Over the last decade, empirical studies analyzing macroeconomic conditions that may affect the size of government spending multipliers have flourished. Yet, in spite of their obvious public policy importance, little is known about public investment multipliers. In particular, the clear...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012843305