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The Euro-Area Government Spending Multiplier at the Effective Lower Bound
Amendola, Adalgiso - 2019
economy is at the effective lower bound (ELB) or in normal times does not seem to matter for the size of the multiplier … average multiplier is about 1 in normal times and between 1.6 and 2.8 at the ELB, depending on the specification. The … difference between the two multipliers is distributed largely away from zero. More generally, the multiplier is inversely …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012866218
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The Impact of r-g on the Euro-Area Government Spending Multiplier
di Serio, Mario; Fragetta, Matteo; Melina, Giovanni - 2021
-called r-g. Whether the fiscal shock occurs when r-g is positive or negativematters for the size of the multiplier. Median … multiplier is inversely correlated with r-g. The calculationsare based on the estimates of a factor-augmented interacted panel …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013243042
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Fiscal Spillovers in the Euro Area : Letting the Data Speak
Dabla-Norris, Era - 2018
We estimate a panel VAR model that captures cross-country, dynamic interlinkages for 10 euro area countries using quarterly data for the period 1999-2016. Our analysis suggests that fiscal spillovers are significant and tend to be larger for countries with close trade and financial links as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012928609
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Medium-Term Fiscal Multipliers During Protracted Recessions
Dell'Erba, Salvatore - 2015
The paper examines the consequences of fiscal consolidation in times of persistently low growth and high unemployment by estimating medium-term fiscal multipliers during protracted recessions (PR) in a sample of 17 OECD countries. Based on Jorda's (2005) local projection methodology, we find...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013031164
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The Fiscal Multiplier of European Structural Investment Funds : Aggregate and Sectoral Effects with an Application to Slovenia
Durand, Luigi; Espinoza, Raphael A. - 2022
In this paper, we estimate the aggregate and sectoral fiscal multipliers of EU Structural Investment (ESI) Funds and of public investment at the EU level. We complement these results with a specific application to the case of Slovenia. We first analyze aggregate data and find large and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013305624
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Bunching at 3 Percent : The Maastricht Fiscal Criterion and Government Deficits
Caselli, Francesca - 2018
This paper estimates the effects of the Maastricht treaty's fiscal criterion on EU countries' general government deficits. We combine treatment effects methods with bunching estimation, and find that the 3 percent deficit rule acts as a 'magnet', increasing the number of observations around the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012912484
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Fiscal Politics in the Euro Area
Eyraud, Luc - 2017
This paper provides evidence of fiscal procyclicality, excessive deficits, distorted budget composition and poor compliance with fiscal rules in the euro area. Our analysis relies on real-time data for 19 countries participating in the euro area over 1999-2015. We look for, but do not find,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012960584
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Do Subnational Fiscal Rules Foster Fiscal Discipline? New Empirical Evidence from Europe
Kotia, Ananya - 2016
This paper studies how fiscal rules interact with the intergovernmental fiscal framework to foster fiscal discipline among European subnational governments. We use political variables describing the fiscal attitudes of the central government as instruments to obtain consistent estimates of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012977755
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Cross-Country Spillovers of Fiscal Consolidations in the Euro Area
Poghosyan, Tigran - 2017
This paper revisits the issue of cross-country spillovers from fiscal consolidations using an innovative empirical methodology. We find evidence in support of fiscal spillovers in 10 euro area countries. Fiscal consolidation in one country not only reduces domestic output (direct effect), but...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012950411
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U.S. And Euro Area Monetary and Fiscal Interactions During the Pandemic : A Structural Analysis
Hodge, Andrew; Jakab, Zoltan; Lindé, Jesper; Nguyen, … - 2022
This paper employs a two-country New Keynesian DSGE model to assess the macroeconomic impact of the changes in monetary policy frameworks and the fiscal support in the U.S. and euro area during the pandemic. Moving from a previous target of “below, but close to 2 percent” to a formal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014237881