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We develop a stylized balance sheet framework to help identify ‘quasi-fiscal’ components of central bank crisis interventions and show how sources of fiscal risk are created from both the new claims and how they are funded. Combining central bank balance sheet data with survey evidence from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014354111
climate-related shocks affect inflation and economic growth also depends on long-run scarring in the economy and the country … contrast in the impact of climate shocks on inflation and growth according to income level, state of the economy, and fiscal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014354589
This paper provides an analysis of the use and effects of capital controls in 27 AEs and EMDEs which experienced at least one financial crisis between 1995 and 2017. Countries often turn to using capital controls in crisis: some ease inflow controls while others tighten controls on outflows. A...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014355803
The recent media and political attention on service outsourcing from developed to developing countries gives the impression that outsourcing is exploding. As a result, workers in industrial countries are anxious about job losses. This paper aims to establish what are the hypes and what are the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012757114
This paper develops a structural macroeconometric model of the world economy, disaggregated into forty national …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012678772
debt sustainability. It recommends integrating such rules into a well-designed fiscal responsibility law and establishing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012858382
How do oil price movements affect sovereign spreads in an oil-dependent economy? I develop a stochastic general … equilibrium model of an economy exposed to co-moving oil price and output processes, with endogenous sovereign default risk. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012858384
Real oil prices surged from 2009 through 2014, comparable to the 1970's oil shock period. Standard explanations based on monopoly markup fall short since inflation remained low after 2009. This paper contributes strong evidence of Granger (1969) predictability of nominal factors to oil prices,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012858386
the domestic economy from volatile capital flow cycles must be weighed against the sources of exogenous risks and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012858394
This paper studies the determinants of repeated use of Fund-supported programs in a large sample covering virtually all General Resources Account (GRA) arrangements that were approved between 1952 and 2012. Generally, the revolving nature of the IMF's resources calls for the temporary sup-port...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012858950