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observed stability of inflation: inflation expectations have become better anchored and to a lower level; the slope of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013080457
Empirical tests of the New Keynesian Phillips Curve have provided results often inconsistent with microeconomic evidence. To overcome the pitfalls of standard estimations on aggregate data, a Full Information Partial Equilibrium approach is developed to exploit sectoral level data. A model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012907944
Despite closing output gaps and tightening labor markets, inflation has remained low inthe euro area. Based on an augmented Phillips Curve framework, we find that thisphenomenon-sometimes attributed to low global inflation-has been primarily causedby a remarkable persistence of inflation,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012910359
, we find that inflation is a highly persistent process in India, reflecting very adaptive expectations and the backward … looking nature of wage and support price-setting. As a consequence, we find that a moderation of expectations, both backward …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012977801
drivers, the bottom-up approach also improves on anaggregate Phillips curve in terms of forecasting ability. In the baseline …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012913928
inflation expectations. Further, inflation in the Western Balkans is not just determined by foreign shocks, and domestic factors … the importance of an appropriate domestic macroeconomic policy mix to keep inflation expectations anchored and safeguard …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014256591
which factors drove the deterioration in forecasting performance during the pandemic period and use these insights to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014264528
obtained would serve for structural model-based inflation forecasting. It also highlights the importance of adjustment to a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012782834
factors predominantly drive core goods price changes. When comparing forecasting performance, we find that both the aggregate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012977854
results show that errors in forecasting non-core inflation (commodity prices etc.) are found to be the largest contributors to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012860993