This paper investigates various output gap measures in a simple inflation forecasting framework. Reflecting the … pressures, including a gap could improve the accuracy of autoregressive inflation forecasting. This assertion is tested in a …

Inflation in Mongolia resembles a roller coaster ride with sharp rises and steep drops. Understanding why is critical … for formulating and assessing monetary policy. Food prices are found to be a key driver of inflation, and, not surprising … underlying inflation by 1 percentage point. So, while inflation will remain volatile due to agricultural shocks, there is space …

This paper investigates the determinants of inflation in the Dominican Republic during 1991-2002, a period …-correction model using quarterly observations, the paper finds that inflation is explained by changes in monetary aggregates, real … output, foreign inflation, and the exchange rate. Long-run relationships in the money and traded-goods markets are found to …

Despite closing output gaps and tightening labor markets, inflation has remained low inthe euro area. Based on an … augmented Phillips Curve framework, we find that thisphenomenon-sometimes attributed to low global inflation-has been primarily … causedby a remarkable persistence of inflation, keeping it low despite the reduction in slack. Thisfeature is shown to be …

We analyze the dramatic decline in India's inflation over the last two years using an augmented Phillips Curve approach …, we find that inflation is a highly persistent process in India, reflecting very adaptive expectations and the backward …

-recession trend, suggesting hysteresis. Second, while inflation has decreased, it has decreased less than anticipated, suggesting a … breakdown of the relation between inflation and activity. To examine the first, we look at 122 recessions over the past 50 years … unemployment on inflation,for given expected inflation, decreased until the early 1990s, but has remained roughly stable since then …

This paper examines the recent behavior of core inflation in the United States. We specify a simple Phillips curve … based on the assumptions that inflation expectations are fully anchored at the Federal Reserve's target, and that labor …-market slack is captured by the level of shortterm unemployment. This equation explains inflation behavior since 2000, including …

This paper provides an overview of inflation developments in Vietnam in the years following the doi moi reforms, and … uses empirical analysis to answer two key questions: (i) what are the key drivers of inflation in Vietnam, and what role … does monetary policy play? and (ii) why has inflation in Vietnam been persistently higher than in most other emerging …