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Inflation has been rising during the pandemic against supply chain disruptions and a multi-year boom in global owner …-occupied house prices. We present some stylized facts pointing to house prices as a leading indicator of headline inflation in the U … inflation in two housing components (rent and owner-occupied housing cost) of the headline inflation and draw tentative …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013403378
The COVID-19 pandemic further extended the multi-year housing boom in advanced economies and emerging markets alike against massive monetary easing during the pandemic. In this paper, we analyze the pricing-out phenomenon in the U.S. residential housing market due to higher house prices...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014258218
This paper discusses comovement between inflation and output in the euro area. The strength of the comovement may not … frequency, the output and core inflation comovement is high and stable, and that inflation lags the cycle in output with roughly … half of its variance. The strong relationship of output and inflation hints at the importance of demand shocks for the euro …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013074695
What are the drivers of business cycle fluctuations? And how many are there? Bydocumenting strong and predictable co-movement of real variables during the business cyclein a sample of advanced economies, we argue that most business cycle fluctuations aredriven by one major factor. The positive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012962163
times. An inflation shock only slightly reduces the debt ratio for a few quarters. A positive growth shock unambiguously …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013098577
higher food shares in CPI baskets, fuel intensities, and pre-existing inflation levels were more prone to experience … scores seem to have contained the impact of these shocks better. The effect of the presence of inflation targeting regimes … inflation responds to international commodity price shocks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013098581
Inflation in Mongolia resembles a roller coaster ride with sharp rises and steep drops. Understanding why is critical … for formulating and assessing monetary policy. Food prices are found to be a key driver of inflation, and, not surprising … underlying inflation by 1 percentage point. So, while inflation will remain volatile due to agricultural shocks, there is space …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013098617
This paper presents an empirical investigation of inflation dynamics in Libya over the period 1964–2010, using … cointegration and error correction models. While inflation inertia is found to be a key determinant of consumer price inflation, the … econometric results indicate that government spending, money supply growth, global inflation, and exchange rate pass-through play …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013082860
The perception that inflation dynamics in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) are driven by supply shocks implies a limited role … for monetary policy in influencing inflation in the short run. SSA's rapid growth, its integration with the global economy …, changes in the policy frameworks, among others, in the last decade suggest that the drivers of inflation may have changed. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013015595
wage growth and inflation in Europe and factors that influence the strength of the passthrough from labor costs to prices …. Historically, wage growth has led to higher inflation, but the impact has weakened since 2009. Empirical analysis suggests that the … passthrough from wage growth to inflation is significantly lower in periods of subdued inflation and inflation expectations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012842209