We assess the bivariate relation between money growth and inflation in the euro area and the United States using hybrid … statistically unstable across time in both regions. The effect of money growth on inflation weakened notably after the 1980s before … maximum impact of money growth on inflation is increasing in the trend level of inflation. These results caution against …

inflation. Through a novel consumption deflator decomposition, we show that import prices account for 40 percent of the average … convergence of inflation to target over the next two years. Monetary policy will thus need to remain restrictive to anchor …

This paper analyzes the inflation forecast errors over the period 2021Q1-2022Q3 using forecasts of core and headline … inflation from the International Monetary Fund World Economic Outlook for a large group of advanced and emerging market … information. Focusing on core inflation forecast errors in 2021, four factors provide a potential ex post explanation: a stronger …

This paper investigates the impact of fiscal shocks on inflation, using a large panel of 139 countries over the period … 1970–2021. First, both headline and core measures of inflation increase in response to expansionary shifts in the fiscal … with care in aggregate demand management as it has significant effects on inflation, which are highly dependent on fiscal …

What is the impact of climate change on inflation and growth dynamics? This is not a simple question to answer as … climate-related shocks affect inflation and economic growth also depends on long-run scarring in the economy and the country … investigate how climate shocks, as measured by climate-induced natural disasters, influence inflation and economic growth in a …

Inflation in low-income countries is often high and volatile, driven by external shocks. In addition, inflation in … stability. We estimate the drivers of inflation in Guinea since the early 2000s, a period in which the country suffered major … shocks from pandemics, commodity price movements, and multiple military coups, and during which inflation averaged 12 percent …

between monetary autonomy and inflation dynamics in a panel of Caribbean countries over the period 1980-2017. The empirical … results show that monetary independence is a significant factor in determining inflation, even after controlling for … monetary policy for domestic purposes independent of external monetary influences, leads to lower consumer price inflation …

Against the backdrop of an ongoing review of the inflation-targeting framework, this paper examines the real …-time inflation forecasts of the Bank of Canada with the aim of identifying potential areas for improvement. Not surprisingly, the … results show that errors in forecasting non-core inflation (commodity prices etc.) are found to be the largest contributors to …

Inflation rates rose sharply in the Philippines during 2018. Understanding the demand and supply sources of inflation … pressures is key to monetary policy response. Qualitatively, indicators have pointed to evidence of inflation pressures from …-structural model to decompose the contributions of various shocks to inflation. Our main findings are (1) supply factors (mainly global …

wage growth and inflation in Europe and factors that influence the strength of the passthrough from labor costs to prices …. Historically, wage growth has led to higher inflation, but the impact has weakened since 2009. Empirical analysis suggests that the … passthrough from wage growth to inflation is significantly lower in periods of subdued inflation and inflation expectations …