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The central counterparties dominating the market for the clearing of over-the-counter interest rate and credit derivatives are globally systemic. Employing methodologies similar to the calculation of banks' capital requirements against trading book exposures, this paper assesses the sensitivity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013085978
The central counterparties dominating the market for the clearing of over-the-counter interest rate and credit derivatives are globally systemic. Employing methodologies similar to the calculation of banks' capital requirements against trading book exposures, this paper assesses the sensitivity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013086881
improve the precision of macroeconomic forecasting, especially in areas with data constraints. This paper investigates whether … travel-related online search queries enhance accuracy in the forecasting of tourist arrivals to The Bahamas from the U.S. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012840606
into this search by providing two metrics-inflation forecasting and business cycle dating-against which different options …) inefficiency wedge performs best in inflation forecasting and production function methodology dominates in the prediction of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013211944
This paper improves short-term forecasting models of monthly tourism arrivals by estimating and evaluating a time …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014237877
This paper investigates house price dynamics at high frequency using city-level observations during the period 1994-2022 in Lithuania. We employ multiple time series-based econometric procedures to examine whether real house prices and house price-to-rent ratios exhibit explosive behavior....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014257254
This paper investigates the performance of the IMF WEO growth forecast revisions across different horizons and country groups. We find that: (i) growth revisions in horizons closer to the actual are generally larger, more volatile, and more negative; (ii) on average, growth revisions are in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013300855
The way central banks manage their foreign reserve assets has evolved over the past decades. One major trend is managing reserves in two or more tranches-liquidity tranche and investment tranche-especially for those with adequate reserves. Incorporating reserve tranching, we have developed in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012889141
Bank liquidity stress testing, which has become de rigueur following the costly lessons of the global financial crisis, remains underdeveloped compared to solvency stress testing. The ability to adequately identify, model and assess the impact of liquidity shocks, which are infrequent but can...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012956502
Capital flow volatility is a concern for macroeconomic and financial stability. Nonetheless, literature is scarce in this topic. Our paper sheds light on this issue in two dimensions. First, using quarterly data for 65 countries over the period 1970Q1-2016Q1, we construct three measures of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012957856