Showing 1 - 10 of 145
Despite its low unemployment rate, the recent shift in the Japanese Beveridge curveindicates increased labor mismatch …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013074692
education in the labor force and when long-term unemployment is more pronounced. Policies which could facilitate labor market … policies, such as unemployment benefits, as well as labor taxation render matching significantly more difficult …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012977727
unemployment on inflation,for given expected inflation, decreased until the early 1990s, but has remained roughly stable since then …-recession trend, suggesting hysteresis. Second, while inflation has decreased, it has decreased less than anticipated, suggesting a … breakdown of the relation between inflation and activity. To examine the first, we look at 122 recessions over the past 50 years …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013002151
Estimates of potential output are an important ingredient of structured forecasting and policy analysis. Using information on consensus forecasts, this paper extends the multivariate filter developed by Benes and others (2010). Although the estimates in real time are more robust relative to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013023270
-market slack is captured by the level of shortterm unemployment. This equation explains inflation behavior since 2000, including … the failure of high total unemployment since 2008 to reduce inflation greatly. The fit of our equation is especially good … Phillips curve in which core inflation depends on short-term unemployment and on expected inflation as measured by the Survey …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013025502
. The estimates suggest that non-cyclical factors account for at least half of the decline of the unemployment rate during … the period between 2004-Q1, when unemployment peaked at 10.9 percent, and 2011-Q4, when it marked a trough at 5.4 percent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013024435
This paper analyses inflation dynamics in the Central African Economic and Monetary Community (CEMAC) using a …. Imported commodity price shocks are significant in explaining inflation in the region. Governments are another driving force of … inflation dynamics mainly through controlled prices and the role of capital expenditure in domestic activity. In most CEMAC …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013119682
times. An inflation shock only slightly reduces the debt ratio for a few quarters. A positive growth shock unambiguously …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013098577
higher food shares in CPI baskets, fuel intensities, and pre-existing inflation levels were more prone to experience … scores seem to have contained the impact of these shocks better. The effect of the presence of inflation targeting regimes … inflation responds to international commodity price shocks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013098581
Inflation in Mongolia resembles a roller coaster ride with sharp rises and steep drops. Understanding why is critical … for formulating and assessing monetary policy. Food prices are found to be a key driver of inflation, and, not surprising … underlying inflation by 1 percentage point. So, while inflation will remain volatile due to agricultural shocks, there is space …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013098617