This paper proposes a new method of estimating the Taylor rule with a time-varying implicit inflation target and a time …-varying natural rate of interest. The inflation target and the natural rate are modeled as random walks and are estimated using …

-looking specifications, especially when targeting core components of GDP and inflation, and combine the best parts of efficiency and …

Does the South African rand's relatively large volatility affect inflation? To shed some light on this question, a … standard estimation technique of exchange rate pass-through to inflation is extended to incorporate exchange rate volatility …. Estimated results suggest that higher exchange rate volatility tends to increase core inflation but to a relatively limited …

Africa over the past two decades, which coincides with the adoption of the inflation-targeting regime. The paper conjectures … first documents the factors that explain monetary policy credibility. Using the standard deviation of individual inflation … inflation itself, monetary policy uncertainty, and a measure of the unobserved stochastic volatility of inflation. The second …

inflation in the context of a managed exchange rate regime. Over the past two years, the central bank has taken steps to enhance …

between monetary autonomy and inflation dynamics in a panel of Caribbean countries over the period 1980-2017. The empirical … results show that monetary independence is a significant factor in determining inflation, even after controlling for … monetary policy for domestic purposes independent of external monetary influences, leads to lower consumer price inflation …

Do euro area inflation expectations remain well-anchored? This paper finds that the protractedperiod of low (and below …-target) inflation in the euro area since 2013 has weakened theiranchoring. Testing their sensitivity to inflation and macroeconomic news … robustness to our conclusions. Results point to a significantimpact of inflation news over recent years that had not been …

We develop a semi-structural new-Keynesian open-economy model, with separate food and non-food inflation dynamics, for …-relevant exercises. First, we filter international and Kenyan data (on output, inflation and its components, exchange rates and interest … inflation. Third, we perform an out-of-sample forecast to identify where the economy — and therefore policy — was likely headed …