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on the demand and supply side have weakened redistribution over time and contributed to a new wave of populism. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013302782
study the time profile of their macroeconomic effects for different countries. The results indicate that the economic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013098275
The main purpose of this paper is to construct a financial conditions index (FCI) for South Africa. The analysis … a similar trajectory over time, seem to have a powerful predictive information for the near-term GDP growth (up to four …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013098612
This paper analyzes spillovers from macroeconomic shocks in systemic economies (China, the Euro Area, and the United States) to the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region as well as outward spillovers from a GDP shock in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries and MENA oil exporters to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013088734
This paper develops and estimates a model of the trade balance of Bosnia and Herzegovina. Credit flows and the fiscal stance are found to play a significant role in determining the trade balance. On this basis the paper discusses the trade-offs between monetary and fiscal policy settings needed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012777954
informationally efficient, and characterizes the process whereby WEO forecasts get revised as the time to the point of the forecast …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012780429
The paper presents a simple framework for the analysis of the macroeconomic implications of de-cashing. Defined as replacing paper currency with convertible deposits, de-cashing would affect all key macroeconomic sectors. The overall macreconomic impact of de-cashing would depend on the balance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012956485
), quantify macrofinancial risks in terms of growth, and monitor the evolution of risks to economic activity over time. By using …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012889156
This paper uses a multi-region, forward-looking, DSGE model to estimate the macroeconomic impact of a tax reform that replaces a corporate income tax (CIT) with a destination-based cash-flow tax (DBCFT). Two key channels are at play. The first channel is the shift from an income tax to a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892930
This paper develops comparable financial conditions indices (FCIs) for the six large and most financially-integrated Latin American economies (LA6) by following Korobilis (2013) and Koop and Korobilis (2014). The main findings are as follows. First, the estimated FCIs are influenced by a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012942355