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We show that macroprudential regulation can considerably dampen the impact of globalfinancial shocks on emerging … markets. More specifically, a tighter level of regulation reducesthe sensitivity of GDP growth to VIX movements and capital … andliquidity, foreign currency mismatches, and risky forms of credit. We also find that tightermacroprudential regulation allows …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012828057
foreign debt; however, high levels of this debt reduces countercyclicality to mercantilist concerns. Higher exchange rate pass …-through to export prices, and having an inflation targeting regime with non-freely floating exchange rates, increase …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012829284
Using a panel data set for international corporate bonds and capital account restrictions in advanced and emerging economies, we show that restrictions on capital inflows produce a substantial and economically meaningful increase in corporate bond spreads. A number of heterogeneities suggest...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012950415
We construct a new, comprehensive instrument-level database of sovereign debt for 18 advanced and emerging countries … over the period 1913-46. The database contains data on amounts outstanding for some 3,800 individual debt instruments as … notoriously high debt levels. We document how interwar governments rolled over debts that were largely unsustainable and how the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012858955
Consider two views of the global financial crisis. One view looks across the border: it blames external imbalances, the unprecedented current account deficits and surpluses in recent years. Another view looks within the border: it faults domestic financial systems where risks originated in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013060542
This paper assesses the costs of internal trade barriers and proposes policies to improve internal trade. Estimates suggest that complete liberalization of internal trade in goods can increase GDP per capita by about 4 percent and reallocate employment towards provinces that experience large...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012864110
This paper focuses on the debt build-up that frontier low-income developing countries (LIDCs) have faced since 2012 …. First, it documents a 20-percentage point increase in the external and government debt-to-GDP ratios, a composition shift … toward higher non-concessional debt, and a rise in interest rate payments. Second, using panel regressions, it shows that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012889153
shocks than the usual filtering techniques. It also produces smaller out-of-sample forecast errors for inflation. At the same …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012839682
China's current account surplus has declined significantly from its peak in 2008 and the external position in 2018 was in line with medium-term fundamentals and desirable policies. While cyclical factors and expansionary credit and fiscal policies contributed, the trend decline has been largely...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012858380
Do discretionary spending cuts and tax increases hurt social well-being? To answer this question, we combine subjective well-being data covering over half a million of individuals across 13 European countries, with macroeconomic data on fiscal consolidations. We find that fiscal consolidations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012840601