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An important role for bank capital is that of a buffer against unexpected losses. As uncertainty about these losses … counterfactual experiment suggests that a decline in uncertainty to the lowest level measured in the sample generates an average … response to increased uncertainty …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013138298
The recent relatively high levels of global oil prices have led to a significant improvement in the public finances of several hydrocarbon-exporting countries. However, despite the increase in fiscal buffers, medium-term risks remain high. Fiscal vulnerabilities have increased as a consequence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013096279
The recent relatively high levels of global oil prices have led to a significant improvement in the public finances of several hydrocarbon-exporting countries. However, despite the increase in fiscal buffers, medium-term risks remain high. Fiscal vulnerabilities have increased as a consequence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013097742
This paper reviews the literature on the macroeconomic impact of natural disasters and presents the IMF's role in assisting countries coping with natural catastrophes. Focusing on seven country cases, the paper describes the emergency financing, policy support, and technical assistance provided...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013098564
This paper quantifies the economic impact of uncertainty shocks in the UK using data that span the recent Great … Recession. We find that uncertainty shocks have a significant impact on economic activity in the UK, depressing industrial … negligible after 18 months. Interestingly, the impact of uncertainty shocks on industrial production in the UK is strikingly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013084150
This paper examines how exchange rate volatility and Korean banks' foreign exchange liquidity mismatches interacted with each other during the Global Financial Crisis, and whether the vulnerability stemming from this interaction has been reduced since then. Structural and cyclical changes after...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013089342
Recent studies show that uncertainty shocks have quantitatively important effects on the real economy. This paper …-neutral shareholders and subject to limited liability, can exhibit self-insurance, and thus loan supply contracts when uncertainty …. Consistent with the theoretical predictions, increases in uncertainty reduce the supply of credit, more so for banks with lower …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013071363
Economic volatility remains a fact of life in Sub Saharan Africa (SSA). Household-level shocks create large consumption fluctuations, raising the incidence of poverty. Drawing on micro-level data from South Africa and Tanzania, we examine the vulnerability to shocks across household types (e.g....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012836527
High household indebtedness could constrain future consumption growth and increase financial stability risks. This paper uses household survey data to analyze both macroeconomic and finanical stability risks from the rapidly rising household debt in China. We find that rising household...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012843517
policy on output, as well as uncertainty in the model parameters and system dynamics. Uncertainty is specified in general …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012956494