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Patterns in Invoicing Currency in Global Trade

Boz, Emine - 2020

This paper presents the most comprehensive and up-to-date panel data set of invoicing currencies in global trade. It provides data on the shares of exports and imports invoiced in US dollars, euros, and other currencies for more than 100 countries since 1990. The evidence from these data...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012826025

Global Trade and the Dollar

Gopinath, Gita - 2018

.S. dollar is a key predictor of rest-of-world aggregate trade volume and consumer/producer price inflation. A 1 percent U ….S. dollar appreciation against all other currencies in the world predicts a 0.6-0.8 percent decline within a year in the volume … of total trade between countries in the rest of the world, controlling for the global business cycle. 4) Using a novel …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012928628

International Trade Spillovers from Domestic COVID-19 Lockdowns

Aiyar, Shekhar S.; Malacrino, Davide; Mohommad, Adil; … - 2022

While standard demand factors perform well in predicting historical trade patterns, they fail conspicuously in 2020, when pandemic-specific factors played a key role above and beyond demand. Prediction errors from a multilateral import demand model in 2020 vary systematically with the health...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014081240

Trade Flows, Multilateral Resistance, and Firm Heterogeneity

Behar, Alberto - 2013

, despite the larger trade elasticities implied by firm heterogeneity. As a consequence, the world-wide trade response, though …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013085999

Assessing the Fragility of Global Trade : The Impact of Localized Supply Shocks Using Network Analysis

Korniyenko, Yevgeniya - 2017

Anecdotal evidence suggests the existence of specific choke points in the global trade network revealed especially after natural disasters (e.g. hard drive components and Thailand flooding, Japanese auto components post-Fukushima, etc.). Using a highly disaggregated international trade database...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012960577

The Slowdown in Global Trade : A Symptom of a Weak Recovery

Aslam, Aqib - 2018

Global trade growth has slowed since 2012 relative both to its strong historical performance and to overall economic growth. This paper aims to quantify the role of weak economic growth and changes in its decomposition in accounting for the slowdown in trade using a reduced form and a structural...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012928627

Technological and Economic Decoupling in the Cyber Era

Garcia-Macia, Daniel; Goyal, Rishi - 2021

The COVID-19 pandemic has accelerated the shift toward digital services. Meanwhile, the race for technological and economic leadership has heated up, with risks of decoupling that could set back trade and growth and hinder the recovery from the worst global recession since the Great Depression....

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013252019

Improving the Short-Term Forecast of World Trade During the COVID-19 Pandemic Using Swift Data on Letters of Credit

Carton, Benjamin; Hu, Nan; Mongardini, Joannes; Moriya, Kei - 2021

-learning algorithms for the world and 40 large economies shows that forecasts based on linear regressions often outperform those based on …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013252036

Quality and the Great Trade Collapse

Chen, Natalie - 2016

We explore whether the global financial crisis has had heterogeneous effects on traded goods differentiated by quality. Combining a dataset of Argentinean firm-level destination-specific wine exports with quality ratings, we show that higher quality exports grew faster before the crisis, but...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012996075

Trade and the COVID-19 Pandemic : Lessons from French Firms

Brussevich, Mariya; Papageorgiou, Chris; Wibaux, Pauline - 2022

This paper uses granular customs data from France to investigate propagation of the COVID-19 shock along the supply chains in 2020. It quantifies the effect of the COVID-19 shock on trade adjustment and identifies mitigating and amplifying factors contributing to French firms’ heterogeneous...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014083506

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