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This paper reviews the evolution of China`s real effective exchange rate between 1980 and 2002, and uses a structural vector autoregression model to study the relative importance of different types of macroeconomic shocks for fluctuations in the real exchange rate. The structural decomposition...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012783233
volatility. Expanding the sample to 121 developing countries confirms this result, although this role of shock-absorber fades …-whether financial intermediation is performed through banks or markets-for macroeconomic volatility, against the backdrop of increased … sector development acts as a shock-absorber in poor countries, dampening the transmission of terms of trade shocks to growth …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012871772
How does access to credit impact consumption volatility? Theory and evidence from advanced economies suggests that … volatile than income, indicates that financial reform further increases the volatility of consumption relative to output. We … consumption volatility. Calibration of the model for pre and post financial reform in India provides support for the model's key …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013080461
than 40 percent of the volatility of aggregate sales. Although quite large, this contribution is smaller than documented in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013306713
-consequences of a supply-driven oil-price shock are very different from those of an oil-demand shock driven by global economic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013098275
, however, appears very modest and not evident during the 2008 food price shock. The evidence suggests that trade openness …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013098581
integration with the rest of the world, arguably turning these economies more vulnerable to global financial shocks; and an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013098620
The global financial crisis was a stark reminder of the importance of cross-country linkages in the global economy. We document growth synchronization across a diverse group of 185 countries covering 7 regions, and pay particular attention to the period around the global financial crisis. A...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013082486
This paper documents the determinants of real oil price in the global market based on SVAR model embedding transitory and permanent shocks on oil demand and supply as well as speculative disturbances. We find evidence of significant differences in the propagation mechanisms of transitory versus...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012836533
country's supply shock vulnerability based on the composition of their individual import baskets. This measure evaluates the … potential negative supply shock spillovers from the import of each good …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012960577