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With fiscal adjustment proceeding quickly in Bulgaria and given the weak economic growth environment, there is keen interest in making the budget composition more growth friendly. This paper quantifies the short-term impact of fiscal policy on economic activity in Bulgaria using econometric and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013085612
Implementation of fiscal consolidation by advanced economies in coming years needs to take into account the short and long-run interactions between economic growth and fiscal policy. Many countries must reduce high public debt to GDP ratios that penalize longterm growth. However, fiscal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013102268
This paper assesses the effects of fiscal consolidations associated with public debt reduction on medium-term output growth during periods of private debt deleveraging. The analysis covers 107 countries and 79 episodes of public debt reduction driven by discretionary fiscal adjustments during...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013071366
This paper evaluates policy alternatives to achieve permanent fiscal consolidation in Hungary, based on a general equilibrium calibration. The main finding is that the composition of the consolidation, as determined by the mix of revenue and expenditure measures, has important implications for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013073774
This paper estimates the causal effect of fiscal rules on political budget cycles in a sample of 67 developing countries over the period 1985-2007. We exploit the geographical pattern in the adoption of fiscal rules to isolate an exogenous source of variation in the adoption of national fiscal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012843304
At a time when Algeria must undertake considerable fiscal consolidation to restore sustainability, the issueof fiscal multipliers has come to the fore. This paper estimates short-term and long-term fiscal multipliersfor Algeria applying several econometric methodologies, including Local...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012913901
Many countries have deployed substantial fiscal packages to cushion the economic fallout from the COVID-19 pandemic. A historical look at past pandemics and epidemics highlights concomitant public sector support in response to health crises. This paper assesses how fiscal multipliers could vary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014079424
This paper investigates the role of informality in affecting the magnitude of the fiscal multiplier in a panel of 141 … size of the fiscal multiplier. This result holds irrespective of the levels of economic development and institutional …. Thus, informality raises the size of the unofficial multiplier. A higher degree of non-separability between public and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014083505
consolidation size to allow speed to affect the multiplier. Second, using the narrative dataset of Devries and others (2011), we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013071926
consumption, reducing the fiscal multiplier …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013055258