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Climate change is an existential threat to the world economy like no other, with complex, evolving and nonlinear … dynamics that remain a source of great uncertainty. There is a bourgeoning literature on the economic impact of climate change …, but research on how climate change affects sovereign risks is limited. Building on our previous research focusing on the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013250076
A growing literature estimates the macroeconomic effect of weather using variations in annual country-level averages of temperature and precipitation. However, averages may not reveal the effects of extreme events that occur at a higher time frequency or higher spatial resolution. To address...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014079013
-consequences of a supply-driven oil-price shock are very different from those of an oil-demand shock driven by global economic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013098275
, however, appears very modest and not evident during the 2008 food price shock. The evidence suggests that trade openness …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013098581
integration with the rest of the world, arguably turning these economies more vulnerable to global financial shocks; and an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013098620
The global financial crisis was a stark reminder of the importance of cross-country linkages in the global economy. We document growth synchronization across a diverse group of 185 countries covering 7 regions, and pay particular attention to the period around the global financial crisis. A...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013082486
This paper documents the determinants of real oil price in the global market based on SVAR model embedding transitory and permanent shocks on oil demand and supply as well as speculative disturbances. We find evidence of significant differences in the propagation mechanisms of transitory versus...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012836533
country's supply shock vulnerability based on the composition of their individual import baskets. This measure evaluates the … potential negative supply shock spillovers from the import of each good …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012960577
notion that interconnected financial systems facilitate shock transmission …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012977748
Global merchandise trade expanded rapidly over the last 6 1/2 decades and its relationship with global income has seen ebbs and flows. This paper examines the shifts in this relationship using time series data over 1950-2014 and situates it in the current and longer term context. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012977826