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bywidening top income inequality, rising private savings and compressed consumption rates.Rising corporate profits in an … environment of high business wealth concentration account for90 percent of the rise in the private savings rate and a third of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012828236
Historically high household debt in several economies is calling for a deleveraging, but according to some economists, this adjustment can slow GDP growth by weighing on consumption. Using a sample of advanced and emerging market economies, this paper finds evidence of a negative relationship...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013306732
Why do many households remain exposed to large exogenous sources of non-systematic income risk? We use a series of randomized field experiments in rural India to test the importance of price and non-price factors in the adoption of an innovative rainfall insurance product. Demand is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013098613
This paper investigates the determinants of fiscal policy behavior and its time-varying volatility, using panel data for a broad set of advanced and emerging market economies during the period 1990–2012. The empirical results show that discretionary fiscal policy is influenced by policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013055674
This paper studies how fiscal policy affects loan market conditions in the US. First, itconducts a Structural Vector-Autoregression analysis showing that the bank spread respondsnegatively to an expansionary government spending shock, while lending increases. Second,it illustrates that these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013080221
Achieving France's medium-term fiscal targets will require significant expenditure efforts. This paper identifies areas where there is scope for increasing expenditure efficiency, with a view to achieving higher quality and more sustainable fiscal consolidation. The methodology is based on a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012996033
We argue that the U.S. personal saving rate's long stability (from the 1960s through the early 1980s), subsequent steady decline (1980s-2007), and recent substantial increase (2008-2011) can all be interpreted using a parsimonious ‘buffer stock' model of optimal consumption in the presence of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013098587
We study the effects of permanent and temporary income shocks on precautionary saving and investment in a "store-or-sow" model of growth. High volatility of permanent shocks results in high precautionary saving in the safe asset and low investment, or a "volatility trap." Namely, big savers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013102269
converge towards lower equilibrium real interest rates if domestic savings increase to the level of other emerging market … countries. The effect is particularly pronounced if the increase in domestic savings is achieved through higher levels of public … savings. Still, econometric results suggest that, controlling for everything else in the model, real interest rates in Brazil …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013108621
reassess national savings behavior, with greater prominence and more careful consideration given to the role played by changing … literature. Going further, we simulate global savings behavior based on our framework and find that China's demographics should … decades, individual countries' convergence toward the simulated savings pattern will be influenced by their past divergences …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013082859