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We argue that the U.S. personal saving rate's long stability (from the 1960s through the early 1980s), subsequent steady decline (1980s-2007), and recent substantial increase (2008-2011) can all be interpreted using a parsimonious ‘buffer stock' model of optimal consumption in the presence of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013098587
We study the effects of permanent and temporary income shocks on precautionary saving and investment in a "store-or-sow" model of growth. High volatility of permanent shocks results in high precautionary saving in the safe asset and low investment, or a "volatility trap." Namely, big savers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013102269
reassess national savings behavior, with greater prominence and more careful consideration given to the role played by changing … literature. Going further, we simulate global savings behavior based on our framework and find that China's demographics should … decades, individual countries' convergence toward the simulated savings pattern will be influenced by their past divergences …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013082859
We study, both empirically and quantitatively, the role of savings and the labor supply inself-insurance channels over … social security benefits for the period 1995-2009. We find that both savings and the labor supply are quantitatively … adjustment to savings and labor supply have significant macroeconomic implications. Applying the model to China, we find that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012888767
market economy. Housing reform and rising income inequality also contribute to higher savings. Moving forward, demographic …China's high national savings rate-one of the highest in the world-is at the heart of its external/internal imbalances …. High savings finance elevated investment when held domestically, or lead to large external imbalances when they flow abroad …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012895103
demographic change and pension reform. We find that the generosity of the pension system plays an important role in determining …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012895118
This paper analyzes saving patterns and determinants in Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC), including key policy variables and regimes. The review of previous empirical studies on LAC saving reveals contradictions and omissions. This paper presents empirical results of an extensive search of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013021442
This paper presents new evidence on the behavior of saving in the world, by extending previous empirical research in five dimensions. First, it is based on a very large and recent database, covering 165 countries from 1981 to 2012. Second, it conducts a robustness analysis across different...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013040407
This paper develops a time series model for aggregate consumption to predict the U.S. personal saving rate. It then uses the model to test whether there has been a structural break in consumption behavior because of the 2008 financial crisis. Before the crisis, the personal saving rate was...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012913898
The paper reexamines the main private savings determinants in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA), followed by an analysis of the … COVID-19 pandemic impact on private savings in SSA and other country groupings. Using an unbalanced panel data from 1983 … savings in the region. In contrast with other regions, private saving rates have not increased during COVID-19 in SSA. Instead …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014239600