The past two decades have seen a decline in labor's share of national income in several industrial countries. This paper analyzes the role of three factors in explaining movements in labor's share - factor-biased technological progress, openness to trade, and changes in employment protection -...

This paper uses Engel curves to estimate real income growth in Brazil. The estimated per capita household real income growth in metropolitan areas during 1987-2002 is about 4½ percent per year, well above the quot;headlinequot; growth of 1½ percent obtained by deflating nominal incomes by the...

Lucas (2004) asserts that Of the tendencies that are harmful to sound economics, the most seductive, and in my opinion the most poisonous, is to focus on questions of distribution ... The potential for improving the lives of poor people by finding different ways of distributing current...

Are uncertainty shocks a major source of business cycle fluctuations? This paper studies theeffect of a mean preserving shock to the variance of aggregate total factor productivity(macro uncertainty) and to the dispersion of entrepreneurs' idiosyncratic productivity (microuncertainty) in a...

We introduce subsistence requirements in food consumption into a simple new-Keynesianmodel with flexible food and sticky non-food prices. We study how the endogenous structuraltransformation that results from subsistence affects the dynamics of the economy, the design ofmonetary policy, and the...

The simulated results of this paper show that New Keynesian DSGE models with capital accumulation can generate substantial persistencies in the dynamics of the main economic variables, due to the stock nature of capital. Empirical estimates on U.S. data from 1960:I to 2008:I show the response of...

This paper studies the main channels through which interest rate normalization has fiscalimplications in the United States. While unexpected inflation reduces the real value ofgovernment liabilities, a rising policy rate increases government financing needs because ofhigher interest payments and...

Using the U.S. Current Population Survey data, this paper compares the distributional impacts of the Pandemic Crisis and those of the Global Financial Crisis in terms of (i) worker characteristics, (ii) job characteristics-'social' (where individuals interact to consume goods), 'teleworkable'...

Since the adoption of the inflation targeting framework by Bank Indonesia (BI), monetary policy communication has played an increasingly important role in BI's policy toolkit. This paper assesses BI's monetary policy communication from three perspectives: i) its transparency and clarity, ii) its...

This paper outlines an approach to assess uncertainty around a forecast baseline as well as the impact of alternative policy rules on macro variability. The approach allows for non-Gaussian shock distributions and non-linear underlying macroeconomic models. Consequently, the resulting...