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As China implements reforms under the “new normal,” maintaining stability in the labor market is a priority. The country's demography and labor dynamics are changing, after benefitting in past decades from ample cheap labor. So far, the labor market appears to be resilient, even as growth...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013016606
Building on the evolving literature on the topic, this paper reviews the relationship between demographics and long-run capital flows in both theory and in the data. For this purpose, we develop a two region overlapping generations model where countries differ in their population growth and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012895121
Demographic developments have been regarded as one important cause of the long-termmovement in global interest rates. This paper provides empirical evidence of therelationship between demographics and interest rates over a wide sample of advanced andemerging market economies. It also finds that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012912493
detail the impact of low oil prices on investment. The framework alsocaptures the impact of current and planned policies on … investment, partly offsetting the sharpdecline in oil investment. Improvements in productivity are essential to lift potential …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012942332
We document that (i) although private investment growth in emerging markets has decelerated in recent years, it came … down from cyclical highs and remains close to pre-crisis trends; and (ii) investment-to-output ratios generally remain … close to or above historical averages. We show that investment is positively related to expect future profitability, cash …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013023272
We investigate the complex interactions between credit constraints, political instability, and capital accumulation using a novel approach based on Kiyotaki and Moore's (1997) theoretical framework. Drawing on a unique firm-level data set from Middle-East and North Africa (MENA), empirical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013060551
We examine how firm and country heterogeneity shape the response of corporate investment in emerging markets to changes … the costs of external borrowing and (ii) a real options channel-reflecting firms' option values to delay investment. We … find evidence of the coexistence of both channels. Financially weaker firms reduce investment by more in response to higher …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012998802
's macroeconomic performance, as reflected by impulse response functions for investment, employment and output. Our study adds to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012950422
where aggregate shocks have a permanent effect on the unemployment rate. If agents' wealth decreases, the unemployment rate … increases for a potentially indefinite period. This makes unemployment rate dynamics path dependent as in Blanchard and Summers … (1987). I argue that this feature explains the persistence of the unemployment rate in the U.S. after the Great Recession …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013053039
Serbia) are characterized by some of the highest unemployment and low employment rates in Europe. We analyze the poor labor …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013046311